Wayne St. (MI)
Also known as: Wayne St. (MI)
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1151 (#57) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1236 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1067 (#110) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.8 (#16) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.7 (#151) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.679 (#296) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.881 (#146) | NetEff +17.1 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.779 (#197) | NetEff +10.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.959 (#140) | AdjNet +27.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.963 (#145) | AdjNet +27.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.836 (#141) | AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 59.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.708 (#80) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.797 (#99) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.784 (#103) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1100 (#109) | RD 121 | GP 34 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | W | 96 - 42 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Texas Woman's | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 84 - 47 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | UAH | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Malone | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Emporia St. | W | 55 - 39 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 48 - 46 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ashland | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | William Jewell | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 95 - 53 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Augustana (SD) | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Northwood | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Hesston | W | 95 - 27 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Sioux Falls | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 58 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Tiffin | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 63 - 90 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | St. Cloud St. | L | 55 - 78 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Toledo | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Winona St. | L | 40 - 49 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Findlay | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 77 - 39 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Augustana (SD) | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Northern St. | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Jamestown | W | 55 - 48 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Davenport | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | W | 95 - 88 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 78 - 50 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | MSU Moorhead | W | 68 - 51 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Willardson | - | 1 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 87.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 101.4 | 100.0 |
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 1 | 37.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.27 | 63.6 | 25.0 |
| Jaila Harding | - | 1 | 21.3 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 55.6 | 0 | - | 70.8 | 70.8 |
| McKenna Ferguson | - | 14 | 30.5 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 11.4 | 12.4 | 112 | 5.3 | 17.2 | 45.9 | 45.9 | 81.0 | 1.92 | 60.3 | 54.7 |
| Hannah Robbins | - | 1 | 30.4 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Myleigh Weers | - | 1 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 106 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 27.8 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 0.34 | 39.6 | 33.3 |
| Gabi Lutchka | - | 14 | 31.1 | 15.1 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 12.6 | 97 | 4.6 | 19.2 | 48.8 | 33.8 | 78.6 | -0.03 | 59.1 | 55.6 |
| Sophie Benharouga | - | 1 | 12.9 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 68.9 | 70.0 |
| Taylor Thompson | - | 14 | 29.7 | 14.3 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 13.4 | 101 | 4.8 | 15.1 | 44.2 | 25.0 | 67.6 | 4.13 | 50.6 | 45.5 |
| Kylah vanDonkersgoed | - | 16 | 29.4 | 13.4 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 8.8 | -35 | -1.5 | -6.0 | 42.8 | 26.9 | 72.4 | 0.17 | 52.1 | 47.8 |
| Jordan Sears | - | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 57 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 57.1 | -0.24 | 43.1 | 37.5 |
| Abby Cater | - | 1 | 20.7 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 68.5 | 57.1 |
| Rachel Dahlen | - | 16 | 25.5 | 11.0 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 9.5 | -39 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 44.3 | 15.4 | 69.4 | -0.04 | 49.0 | 44.9 |
| Jaida Mcdonald | - | 1 | 20.5 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 63.5 | 71.4 |
| Antoniette Emma-Nnopu | - | 1 | 22.4 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Makenna Shaffer | - | 1 | 21.8 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 50.6 | 55.6 |
| Maimouna Sissoko | - | 1 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 62.5 | - | 69.0 | 66.7 |
| Sydney White | - | 1 | 31.8 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -7.9 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -4.18 | 45.5 | 44.4 |
| Maya Davis | - | 1 | 18.7 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| Bre'Yon White | - | 1 | 18.7 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 216 | 8.3 | 27.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.41 | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Tenleigh Smith | - | 16 | 28.6 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 7.6 | -43 | -1.9 | -7.8 | 31.8 | 31.1 | 72.5 | 2.49 | 42.4 | 37.1 |
| Kelsey Willems | - | 16 | 25.7 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.4 | 5.2 | -50 | -2.2 | -9.0 | 33.6 | 32.9 | 78.6 | -1.6 | 45.5 | 43.3 |
| Taya Davis | - | 1 | 22.3 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 72 | 3.6 | 14.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.7 | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Lanae Billy | - | 1 | 27.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Karrington Gordon | - | 14 | 22.4 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 76 | 3.6 | 14.1 | 40.6 | 17.4 | 55.6 | 1.47 | 45.0 | 42.7 |
| Jaci Tubergen | - | 14 | 29.6 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 66 | 3.1 | 9.5 | 47.2 | 38.7 | 66.7 | -0.14 | 57.3 | 55.6 |
| Meg Rietz | - | 16 | 28.1 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 5.6 | -119 | -5.2 | -22.2 | 38.7 | 34.6 | 72.0 | -5.86 | 47.6 | 43.5 |
| Diamond Richardson | - | 1 | 14.1 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Kyleigh Ortiz | - | 1 | 17.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -14 | -0.8 | -6.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.66 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Saniya Simmons | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | 82 | 4.6 | 22.1 | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | -1.39 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Emma Frost | - | 16 | 15.2 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 3.2 | -94 | -4.5 | -35.3 | 37.1 | 29.6 | 69.2 | -2.69 | 49.9 | 42.9 |
| Lexi Boyke | - | 9 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 50 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 1.13 | 55.4 | 52.6 |
| Paris Lauro | - | 1 | 20.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Lynnae Green | - | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -15 | -1.4 | -10.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.69 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Lily Fitzgerald | - | 15 | 15.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 3.1 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 46.7 | 7.1 | 57.9 | -0.83 | 49.7 | 47.5 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 19.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 4.28 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Paige Horne | - | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 32 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ella Sharar | - | 15 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.5 | -17 | -0.9 | -10.8 | 38.3 | 30.4 | 62.5 | 2.24 | 49.0 | 45.7 |
| Annabel Ayrault | - | 14 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 81 | 4.0 | 27.4 | 32.6 | 30.8 | 75.0 | 1.4 | 45.1 | 41.9 |
| Katelyn Diegnau | - | 4 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | -16 | -3.2 | -249.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.59 | 56.4 | 56.2 |
| Gosia Byczkowska | - | 1 | 33.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emily Homan | - | 14 | 14.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 98 | 4.7 | 29.0 | 38.2 | 33.3 | 77.8 | 1.54 | 50.1 | 45.6 |
| Cassie Allen | - | 15 | 14.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | -66 | -3.1 | -15.9 | 27.1 | 27.3 | 58.3 | -0.36 | 36.6 | 33.3 |
| Addy Johnson | - | 13 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | -57 | -3.0 | -39.6 | 40.7 | 38.5 | 77.8 | 0.0 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| AJ Rickli | - | 12 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.3 | -18 | -1.1 | -33.4 | 34.8 | 0 | 84.6 | -1.04 | 47.0 | 34.8 |
| Koko Sylvester | - | 14 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 21 | 1.1 | 15.9 | 45.8 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -2.12 | 51.1 | 47.9 |
| Cheyenne Banks | - | 1 | 16.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Fiona Diomande | - | 1 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Azjah Reeves | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 20.5 | 25.0 |
| Jessica Black | - | 2 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Mackenzie Miller | - | 14 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 18 | 0.9 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.34 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Sammie Allen | - | 9 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -60 | -4.0 | -30.1 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.25 | 46.0 | 45.0 |
| DeMaya Asberry | - | 9 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -12 | -0.7 | -21.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.74 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Nour Beydoun | - | 6 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -7 | -0.7 | -16.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Arizana Peaua | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -49 | -3.3 | -46.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Japrix Stubbs | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Rowan | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62 | 3.3 | 26.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG