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Washington Wizards

Also known as: Washington Wizards
Program History

2017 Team Stats (95 games)

102.4
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
47.2%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
40.1
RPG
22.1
APG
12.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
107.6
Adj PPG
106.3
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1107 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1064 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More โ†’ 1046 (#5) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +1.3 (#9) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +0.9 (#12) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.541 (#9) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.535 (#9) AdjNet +1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.535 (#9) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 107.6 | AdjD 106.3 More โ†’ 0.528 (#9) AdjO 107.6 | AdjD 106.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 108.4 | AdjD 107.6 More โ†’ 0.518 (#10) AdjO 108.4 | AdjD 107.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.562 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.560 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 95 More โ†’ 1076 (#6) RD 127 | GP 95

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-10-27 @ Atlanta Hawks L 99 - 114
2016-10-30 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 103 - 112
2016-11-02 vs Toronto Raptors L 103 - 113
2016-11-04 vs Atlanta Hawks W 95 - 92
2016-11-05 @ Orlando Magic L 86 - 88
2016-11-07 vs Houston Rockets L 106 - 114
2016-11-09 vs Boston Celtics W 118 - 93
2016-11-11 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 94 - 105
2016-11-12 @ Chicago Bulls L 95 - 106
2016-11-16 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 102 - 109
2016-11-17 vs New York Knicks W 119 - 112
2016-11-19 vs Miami Heat L 111 - 114
2016-11-21 vs Phoenix Suns W 106 - 101
2016-11-25 @ Orlando Magic W 94 - 91
2016-11-26 vs San Antonio Spurs L 100 - 112
2016-11-28 vs Sacramento Kings W 101 - 95
2016-11-30 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 115 - 126
2016-12-02 @ San Antonio Spurs L 105 - 107
2016-12-05 @ Brooklyn Nets W 118 - 113
2016-12-06 vs Orlando Magic L 116 - 124
2016-12-08 vs Denver Nuggets W 92 - 85
2016-12-10 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 110 - 105
2016-12-12 @ Miami Heat L 101 - 112
2016-12-14 vs Charlotte Hornets W 109 - 106
2016-12-16 vs Detroit Pistons W 122 - 108
2016-12-18 vs LA Clippers W 117 - 110
2016-12-19 @ Indiana Pacers L 105 - 107
2016-12-21 @ Chicago Bulls W 107 - 97
2016-12-23 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 96 - 123
2016-12-26 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 107 - 102
2016-12-28 vs Indiana Pacers W 111 - 105
2016-12-30 vs Brooklyn Nets W 118 - 95
2017-01-02 @ Houston Rockets L 91 - 101
2017-01-03 @ Dallas Mavericks L 105 - 113
2017-01-06 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 112 - 105
2017-01-08 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 107 - 101
2017-01-10 vs Chicago Bulls W 101 - 99
2017-01-11 @ Boston Celtics L 108 - 117
2017-01-14 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 109 - 93
2017-01-16 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 120 - 101
2017-01-18 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 104 - 101
2017-01-19 @ New York Knicks W 113 - 110
2017-01-21 @ Detroit Pistons L 112 - 113
2017-01-23 @ Charlotte Hornets W 109 - 99
2017-01-24 vs Boston Celtics W 123 - 108
2017-01-27 @ Atlanta Hawks W 112 - 86
2017-01-29 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 107 - 94
2017-01-31 vs New York Knicks W 117 - 101
2017-02-02 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 116 - 108
2017-02-04 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 105 - 91
2017-02-06 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 135 - 140
2017-02-08 @ Brooklyn Nets W 114 - 110
2017-02-10 vs Indiana Pacers W 112 - 107
2017-02-13 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 120 - 98
2017-02-16 @ Indiana Pacers W 111 - 98
2017-02-24 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 112 - 120
2017-02-26 vs Utah Jazz L 92 - 102
2017-02-28 vs Golden State Warriors W 112 - 108
2017-03-01 @ Toronto Raptors W 105 - 96
2017-03-03 vs Toronto Raptors L 106 - 114
2017-03-05 vs Orlando Magic W 115 - 114
2017-03-07 @ Phoenix Suns W 131 - 127
2017-03-08 @ Denver Nuggets W 123 - 113
2017-03-10 @ Sacramento Kings W 130 - 122
2017-03-11 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 125 - 124
2017-03-13 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 104 - 119
2017-03-15 vs Dallas Mavericks L 107 - 112
2017-03-17 vs Chicago Bulls W 112 - 107
2017-03-18 @ Charlotte Hornets L 93 - 98
2017-03-20 @ Boston Celtics L 102 - 110
2017-03-22 vs Atlanta Hawks W 104 - 100
2017-03-24 vs Brooklyn Nets W 129 - 108
2017-03-25 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 127 - 115
2017-03-28 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 119 - 108
2017-03-29 @ LA Clippers L 124 - 133
2017-03-31 @ Utah Jazz L 88 - 95
2017-04-02 @ Golden State Warriors L 115 - 139
2017-04-04 vs Charlotte Hornets W 118 - 111
2017-04-06 @ New York Knicks W 106 - 103
2017-04-08 vs Miami Heat L 103 - 106
2017-04-10 @ Detroit Pistons W 105 - 101
2017-04-12 @ Miami Heat L 102 - 110
2017-04-16 vs Atlanta Hawks W 114 - 107
2017-04-19 vs Atlanta Hawks W 109 - 101
2017-04-22 @ Atlanta Hawks L 98 - 116
2017-04-24 @ Atlanta Hawks L 101 - 111
2017-04-26 vs Atlanta Hawks W 103 - 99
2017-04-28 @ Atlanta Hawks W 115 - 99
2017-04-30 @ Boston Celtics L 111 - 123
2017-05-02 @ Boston Celtics L 119 - 129
2017-05-04 vs Boston Celtics W 116 - 89
2017-05-07 vs Boston Celtics W 121 - 102
2017-05-10 @ Boston Celtics L 101 - 123
2017-05-12 vs Boston Celtics W 92 - 91
2017-05-15 @ Boston Celtics L 105 - 115

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.

2016-2017 Shot Zones

5903 located field-goal attempts in 68 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Wall24% Gortat20% Beal20% Wall34% Wall22% Beal30% Porter39% Beal36% Beal35% Beal30%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wall28% Gortat20% Wall23% Wall41% Wall28% Porter27% Oubre22% Beal37% Beal31% Beal27%
Misses: who misses most here

Bradley BealJohn WallOtto Porter Jr.Marcin GortatKelly Oubre Jr.

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1202-1944 61.8 2404 John Wall 24% (572 pts) Marcin Gortat 18% (432 pts) John Wall 28% (207 misses) Bradley Beal 15% (109 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 333-789 42.2 666 Marcin Gortat 20% (134 pts) Bradley Beal 19% (126 pts) Marcin Gortat 20% (89 misses) John Wall 18% (82 misses)
Mid-range left 252-586 43.0 504 Bradley Beal 20% (100 pts) Markieff Morris 19% (98 pts) John Wall 23% (78 misses) Markieff Morris 18% (60 misses)
Mid-range center 97-239 40.6 194 John Wall 34% (66 pts) Bradley Beal 16% (32 pts) John Wall 41% (58 misses) Bradley Beal 20% (29 misses)
Mid-range right 292-632 46.2 584 John Wall 22% (128 pts) Bradley Beal 20% (114 pts) John Wall 28% (94 misses) Otto Porter Jr. 14% (49 misses)
Left corner 3 73-218 33.5 219 Bradley Beal 30% (66 pts) Otto Porter Jr. 22% (48 pts) Otto Porter Jr. 27% (39 misses) Kelly Oubre Jr. 19% (27 misses)
Right corner 3 89-233 38.2 267 Otto Porter Jr. 39% (105 pts) Bradley Beal 17% (45 pts) Kelly Oubre Jr. 22% (31 misses) Otto Porter Jr. 21% (30 misses)
Above-break 3 left 171-458 37.3 513 Bradley Beal 36% (186 pts) Otto Porter Jr. 18% (93 pts) Bradley Beal 37% (105 misses) John Wall 13% (36 misses)
Above-break 3 center 117-301 38.9 351 Bradley Beal 35% (123 pts) John Wall 21% (72 pts) Bradley Beal 31% (57 misses) John Wall 23% (43 misses)
Above-break 3 right 198-503 39.4 594 Bradley Beal 30% (180 pts) John Wall 16% (96 pts) Bradley Beal 27% (82 misses) John Wall 20% (60 misses)