Washington Wizards
2016 Team Stats (75 games)
104.6
PPG
103.9
Opp
+0.7
Margin
46.3%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
72.6%
FT%
41.8
RPG
24.7
APG
13.7
TO
100.3
Est. poss./game
102.9
Adj PPG
103.3
Adj Opp PPG
#16
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1083 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1001 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1020 (#12) | HCA +84 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.5 (#16) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.9 (#10) | HCA +5.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.486 (#15) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.488 (#16) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.488 (#16) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.489 (#16) | AdjO 102.9 | AdjD 103.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.539 (#10) | AdjO 103.6 | AdjD 101.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.533 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.543 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1020 (#13) | RD 274 | GP 82 |
2016 Schedule & Results
2016 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Wall
|
G | 70 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 4.9 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 17.5 | 16.3 | -68 | 76 | -0.9 | -0.8 | 42.3 | 35.9 | 78.7 | -0.3 | 51.2 | 46.7 |
Bradley Beal
|
G | 48 | 30.7 | 17.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 14.7 | 8.8 | 48 | 54 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 45.5 | 39.1 | 76.4 | 0.26 | 55.2 | 52.1 |
Marcin Gortat
|
C | 68 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 9.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 10.2 | 14.8 | -70 | 74 | -0.9 | -0.8 | 56.5 | 0.0 | 71.3 | -0.34 | 59.1 | 56.5 |
Markieff Morris
|
F | 23 | 26.6 | 12.1 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 8.9 | -208 | 63 | -3.3 | -3.1 | 44.7 | 29.7 | 75.5 | -0.26 | 51.8 | 48.6 |
Otto Porter Jr.
|
F | 68 | 30.4 | 11.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 9.5 | 10.1 | -145 | 74 | -2.0 | -1.8 | 47.6 | 36.7 | 76.5 | -0.88 | 57.0 | 54.6 |
| Gary Neal | G | 37 | 20.5 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 8.3 | 5.2 | -78 | 40 | -1.9 | -2.0 | 48.0 | 42.6 | 84.6 | -0.25 | 57.5 | 54.6 |
| Ramon Sessions | G | 75 | 20.9 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 7.6 | -78 | 81 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 47.7 | 33.3 | 74.5 | -0.42 | 56.8 | 50.8 |
Nene Hilario
|
F | 51 | 19.6 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 9.2 | -21 | 56 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 55.1 | 0.0 | 57.0 | -0.04 | 56.8 | 55.1 |
Jared Dudley
|
F | 74 | 26.1 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 7.7 | -20 | 80 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 48.1 | 41.9 | 70.9 | -0.07 | 60.0 | 58.2 |
| Marcus Thornton | G | 12 | 15.5 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.3 | 4.3 | -10 | 60 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 37.5 | 31.0 | 76.5 | -0.06 | 48.2 | 44.9 |
Garrett Temple
|
G | 73 | 25.0 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 84 | 79 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 40.2 | 35.5 | 73.1 | 0.62 | 52.6 | 49.3 |
Kris Humphries
|
F | 27 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 5.6 | -30 | 53 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 41.8 | 34.8 | 93.5 | -0.21 | 54.0 | 49.3 |
| Alan Anderson | G | 12 | 14.5 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 42 | 13 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 37.7 | 37.5 | 73.3 | 0.23 | 52.9 | 49.1 |
| JJ Hickson | G | 13 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 5.2 | -81 | 31 | -2.6 | -3.6 | 52.3 | 0.0 | 43.9 | -0.37 | 51.6 | 52.3 |
Kelly Oubre Jr.
|
F | 59 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 2.6 | -31 | 57 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 43.9 | 32.9 | 60.5 | -0.09 | 51.6 | 50.0 |
Drew Gooden
|
- | 28 | 10.2 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | -4 | 28 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 34.4 | 18.9 | 64.3 | -0.02 | 40.1 | 38.0 |
| Jarell Eddie | G | 24 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.4 | -58 | 20 | -2.9 | -6.2 | 32.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 48.1 | 44.4 |
| DeJuan Blair | - | 26 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -105 | 27 | -3.9 | -6.4 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 38.5 | -0.62 | 43.7 | 43.8 |
| Ryan Hollins | C | 5 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.0 | -81 | 35 | -2.3 | -2.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2015-2016 Shot Zones
2184 located field-goal attempts in 25 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
John WallMarcin GortatMarkieff MorrisBradley BealOtto Porter Jr.Garrett TempleJared Dudley
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 456-721 | 63.2 | 912 | Marcin Gortat 17% (156 pts) | John Wall 13% (122 pts) | John Wall 20% (54 misses) | Ramon Sessions 14% (38 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 131-297 | 44.1 | 262 | Marcin Gortat 27% (70 pts) | Bradley Beal 15% (38 pts) | Marcin Gortat 19% (32 misses) | Ramon Sessions 17% (28 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 96-237 | 40.5 | 192 | Markieff Morris 20% (38 pts) | John Wall 18% (34 pts) | John Wall 19% (27 misses) | Markieff Morris 16% (22 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 47-99 | 47.5 | 94 | John Wall 34% (32 pts) | Markieff Morris 21% (20 pts) | John Wall 52% (27 misses) | Nene Hilario 13% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 89-233 | 38.2 | 178 | John Wall 22% (40 pts) | Markieff Morris 13% (24 pts) | John Wall 26% (37 misses) | Bradley Beal 17% (24 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 38-83 | 45.8 | 114 | Otto Porter Jr. 29% (33 pts) | Garrett Temple 26% (30 pts) | Garrett Temple 24% (11 misses) | Otto Porter Jr. 18% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 32-80 | 40.0 | 96 | Garrett Temple 28% (27 pts) | Otto Porter Jr. 25% (24 pts) | Otto Porter Jr. 23% (11 misses) | Garrett Temple 21% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 66-176 | 37.5 | 198 | Bradley Beal 24% (48 pts) | John Wall 18% (36 pts) | Bradley Beal 22% (24 misses) | John Wall 16% (18 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 29-87 | 33.3 | 87 | Jared Dudley 24% (21 pts) | Markieff Morris 17% (15 pts) | Markieff Morris 21% (12 misses) | Bradley Beal 14% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 49-171 | 28.7 | 147 | Bradley Beal 18% (27 pts) | Marcus Thornton 18% (27 pts) | John Wall 16% (20 misses) | Jared Dudley 13% (16 misses) |