Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (88-97). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 41 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 11-24 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 21 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | - |
| James Johnson * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 36 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 3 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 22 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Gary Neal | 14 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter