Washington Col.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1012 (#228) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#341) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1027 (#262) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.2 (#257) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#343) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.661 (#376) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.226 (#439) | NetEff -8.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.594 (#348) | AdjNet +3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.577 (#354) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#374) | AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 56.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.571 (#266) | AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 55.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.580 (#306) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.582 (#312) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1050 (#255) | RD 105 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Salisbury | L | 48 - 68 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Gallaudet | W | 93 - 56 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 45 - 36 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 46 - 86 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Stockton | L | 48 - 57 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Rowan | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Stevenson | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Trinity Washington | W | 68 - 29 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 42 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ursinus | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Bryn Mawr | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Muhlenberg | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Haverford | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 47 - 54 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bryn Mawr | W | 72 - 27 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | McDaniel | W | 50 - 45 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Dickinson | L | 49 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Boggs | - | 17 | 31.3 | 16.6 | 10.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 13.4 | 16.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 45.4 | 0 | 59.4 | 1.39 | 49.8 | 45.4 |
| Heather Middleton | - | 2 | 23.1 | 15.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 66.3 | 60.0 |
| Abby Meredith | - | 15 | 34.9 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 12.7 | 3.9 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 33.5 | 41.0 | 96.0 | -0.68 | 47.2 | 40.1 |
| Taylor Shane | - | 11 | 23.5 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 13.0 | -1.4 | -52 | -4.0 | -100.2 | 32.2 | 25.4 | 83.3 | 0.36 | 39.5 | 37.4 |
| Litzy Lujan-Gonzales | - | 2 | 26.2 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 12.5 | 85.7 | - | 59.1 | 50.0 |
| Angeleen Mulero | - | 2 | 19.6 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 57.6 | 57.7 |
| Isabela Lu.-Gonzales | - | 2 | 21.9 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 20.0 | 66.7 | - | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Deryanis Colon Velez | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Asani Offer | - | 2 | 19.1 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 50.8 | 46.2 |
| Peyton Berger | - | 12 | 23.6 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 10 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 86.7 | -0.69 | 45.3 | 40.5 |
| Tye Queen | - | 2 | 11.8 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 35.5 | 31.2 |
| Emma Robinson | - | 18 | 37.7 | 5.7 | 11.8 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 14.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 39.3 | 25.0 | 17.5 | 1.11 | 36.2 | 39.7 |
| Ellie Carter-Soriano | - | 18 | 20.8 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 42 | 2.1 | 10.2 | 29.4 | 32.2 | 64.3 | 3.38 | 42.4 | 38.7 |
| Saniya Hymes | - | 2 | 12.2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 46.5 | 44.4 |
| Abby Bryant | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 45 | 2.5 | 33.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.48 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Nia Powell | - | 2 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Deryanis Velez | - | 1 | 17.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Abigail BRYANT | - | 1 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 45 | 2.5 | 33.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.48 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Carlisa Johnson | - | 2 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Sarah Oleary | - | 18 | 24.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 43 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 19.8 | 20.0 | 42.3 | 1.04 | 26.2 | 23.3 |
| Giulia Angeretti | - | 9 | 22.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 49 | 4.9 | 99.7 | 20.6 | 0.0 | 64.3 | 1.49 | 28.6 | 20.6 |
| Maggie Lawrence | - | 12 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 5 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 64.7 | 0.84 | 43.3 | 34.6 |
| Amaya Cash | - | 16 | 11.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 55 | 3.1 | 29.3 | 26.3 | 12.5 | 35.7 | 3.88 | 31.8 | 28.9 |
| Melanie AGUILAR | - | 1 | 12.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Marcella Ortiz | - | 9 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 4 | 0.4 | 19.2 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| Mia Filiben | - | 3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.8 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG