Washington Col.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 841 (#579) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 904 (#483) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 839 (#728) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#377) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.8 (#611) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#724) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.064 (#679) | AdjNet -23.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.059 (#680) | AdjNet -23.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.183 (#667) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.310 (#658) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 77.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.222 (#645) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.227 (#648) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 864 (#504) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Immaculata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Navy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Rosemont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Loyola Maryland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Pratt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Gallaudet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Salisbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ursinus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Johns Hopkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Muhlenberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Swarthmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Haverford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Gettysburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | McDaniel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Waldon | - | 20 | 27.0 | 12.8 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 9.8 | 6.6 | -83 | -3.8 | -28.2 | 39.3 | 30.0 | 68.8 | 2.06 | 50.8 | 43.1 |
| Jon Nalty | - | 21 | 26.6 | 11.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 7.8 | -60 | -2.9 | -14.8 | 44.4 | 37.0 | 92.1 | -2.49 | 56.6 | 52.4 |
| Ty Woodland | - | 21 | 23.9 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 6.4 | -144 | -7.2 | -39.0 | 49.1 | 38.9 | 73.9 | -0.77 | 54.5 | 51.1 |
| Jae Harris | - | 21 | 19.7 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 5.9 | -43 | -5.4 | -12.5 | 37.2 | 29.3 | 67.9 | 0.23 | 47.8 | 43.6 |
| Max Portnoy | - | 21 | 26.8 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 8.6 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 45.8 | 28.6 | 68.0 | 1.79 | 50.9 | 47.1 |
| Davis Bland | - | 21 | 18.4 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 3.7 | -43 | -2.0 | -15.0 | 41.6 | 31.4 | 76.9 | -0.68 | 54.3 | 52.5 |
| Ryan Lang | - | 21 | 24.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 6.3 | -120 | -6.0 | -34.2 | 46.7 | 41.7 | 25.0 | -0.99 | 59.9 | 60.6 |
| DJay Snead | - | 2 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 83.3 | - | 107.8 | 125.0 |
| Kevin New Jr. | - | 5 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 8 | 2.0 | 63.8 | 77.8 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 1.63 | 107.1 | 105.6 |
| Ben Costello | - | 19 | 13.4 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | -101 | -5.0 | -43.8 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 43.5 | -2.76 | 46.1 | 45.5 |
| David Carr Jr. | - | 21 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 44.8 | 80.0 | 1.38 | 70.4 | 69.1 |
| Jacob Becker | - | 16 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 11 | 0.7 | 9.7 | 23.1 | 21.7 | 63.6 | 4.16 | 34.2 | 29.5 |
| Terrance Vincent Jr. | - | 3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 10 | 3.3 | 98.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 37.7 | 25.0 |
| Caleb Alston-Nelson | - | 4 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Ben Vaughn | - | 3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4.5 | 88.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Leo Becker | - | 6 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -13 | -2.2 | -44.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Seoage | - | 4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -1.2 | 6 | 1.5 | 31.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Schuh | - | 2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG