🐻⬇️🏀

Washington Adventist

Also known as: Washington Adventist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1012 (#226) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +0.2 (#324) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.029 (#582) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.1 More → 0.150 (#579) AdjNet -15.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More → 0.145 (#581) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 92.3 More → 0.219 (#613) AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 92.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.561 (#194) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.542 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.534 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1123 (#99) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-24 @ Chaminade W 90 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ace Glass lll - 1 27.0 26.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 12.0 - - - 53.3 50.0 100.0 - 71.9 63.3
Rihards Vavers - 1 26.0 25.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 19.0 - - - 53.8 58.3 100.0 - 84.7 80.8
Eemeli Yalaho - 1 24.6 10.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 100.0 - 74.0 60.0
Jerone Morton - 1 29.2 6.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
ND Okafor - 1 19.6 6.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 75.0 0 0.0 - 61.5 75.0
Adria Rodriguez - 1 27.4 6.0 6.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 13.0 2 0.3 6.1 50.0 0 50.0 1.32 52.1 50.0
Kase Wynott - 1 6.8 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Tomas Thrastarson - 1 16.7 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0.0 - 31.6 40.0
Simon Hildebrandt - 1 10.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Parker Gerrits - 1 12.3 0.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG