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Washington Adventist

Also known as: Washington Adventist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1012 (#226) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +0.2 (#324) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.029 (#582) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.1 More → 0.150 (#579) AdjNet -15.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More → 0.145 (#581) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 92.3 More → 0.219 (#613) AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 92.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.561 (#194) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.542 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.534 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1123 (#99) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-24 @ Chaminade - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.