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Wash. & Jeff.

Also known as: Wash. & Jeff.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#214) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1214 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1166 (#45) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +19.4 (#34) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +10.7 (#204) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.938 (#211) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.7 More → 0.893 (#168) NetEff +15.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.0 More → 0.941 (#176) AdjNet +24.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.7 More → 0.942 (#178) AdjNet +23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 56.5 More → 0.796 (#179) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 56.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 53.8 More → 0.773 (#73) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 53.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.817 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.816 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 1204 (#64) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 @ Penn St.-Behrend W 78 - 66
2025-11-14 vs Ohio Northern W 82 - 42
2025-11-15 vs Mount Union W 66 - 65
2025-11-21 @ Marietta W 81 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Cortland L 62 - 74
2025-11-25 @ La Roche W 68 - 50
2025-12-03 vs Chatham W 61 - 52
2025-12-17 vs Carnegie Mellon L 67 - 78
2025-12-29 @ Otterbein L 43 - 52
2025-12-30 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 50 - 61
2026-01-10 vs Geneva W 94 - 66
2026-01-14 @ Waynesburg W 73 - 44
2026-01-17 @ Hiram W 79 - 62
2026-01-21 vs Saint Vincent L 59 - 72
2026-01-24 vs Allegheny W 76 - 47
2026-01-28 @ Chatham W 64 - 52
2026-01-31 @ Grove City W 72 - 50
2026-02-04 vs Franciscan W 76 - 47
2026-02-07 vs Westminster (PA) W 82 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Riley DeRubbo - 19 32.2 15.4 7.0 2.6 1.5 0.4 2.3 12.5 12.1 215 10.2 47.6 39.1 33.9 86.4 4.28 53.5 46.8
Katie Kovalchick - 19 26.9 14.2 5.1 1.8 1.2 1.2 1.7 10.6 11.2 140 6.7 34.8 51.7 34.4 79.7 1.03 58.9 54.5
Stellanie Loutsion - 19 29.8 13.9 5.2 2.1 1.7 0.8 3.2 12.2 8.4 164 8.2 40.0 42.9 29.5 81.5 1.5 52.0 47.8
Marina Grado - 19 31.2 6.5 4.1 3.2 1.8 0.3 2.3 5.3 8.4 170 8.1 44.3 40.0 28.2 84.6 2.76 52.9 45.5
Jaden Wan - 18 18.6 6.4 2.8 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.8 5.4 5.3 113 5.7 46.8 43.3 44.4 76.2 3.61 54.6 51.5
Jacey Mullen - 13 18.2 4.4 5.2 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.5 8.8 58 4.1 20.4 40.0 20.0 83.3 4.01 51.3 41.1
Raegan Kadlecik - 17 18.7 3.8 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 3.5 4.4 87 4.6 47.8 31.7 32.1 85.0 2.32 46.5 39.2
Michelle Jellison - 19 8.6 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.9 2.8 1.8 10 0.5 5.8 41.5 14.3 60.0 0.92 46.9 43.4
Shannon Conley - 13 6.8 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 2.5 0.2 37 2.6 37.7 33.3 28.6 60.0 0.17 38.4 36.4
Emily Mountain - 8 5.4 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 1.8 2.2 22 2.4 52.7 50.0 0.0 75.0 -0.26 53.9 50.0
Brooke Paylo - 14 6.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.3 16 1.0 16.4 37.5 33.3 83.3 0.51 56.4 43.8
Jasmine Twitty - 7 6.1 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 9 1.3 21.7 42.9 0.0 0 -0.06 42.9 42.9
Alayna Wagner - 11 6.9 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 18 1.5 17.7 27.3 0.0 75.0 0.54 35.3 27.3
Ava Capozzoli - 7 3.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 -6 -0.8 -19.6 66.7 100.0 0 -0.09 83.3 83.3
Olivia Kemp - 7 3.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 2 0.2 6.5 16.7 0.0 28.6 -0.09 22.0 16.7
Brianna Toal - 12 6.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.9 -0.6 -6 -0.4 -9.8 8.7 20.0 0.0 -0.92 12.6 13.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG