Wash. & Jeff.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1167 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1180 (#61) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1146 (#49) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.5 (#165) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.5 (#370) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.649 (#366) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.369 (#418) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.360 (#417) | AdjNet -4.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.415 (#421) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.579 (#247) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.633 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.634 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1210 (#59) | RD 86 | GP 37 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | @ | James Madison | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Lancaster Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Arcadia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Salisbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Mary Baldwin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | CWRU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Maryville (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Southern Va. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Chatham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Franciscan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Trine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Capital | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | La Roche | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Kenyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Bethany (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Geneva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Waynesburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Hiram | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Saint Vincent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Allegheny | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Chatham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Grove City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Franciscan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Westminster (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Amorosi | - | 15 | 28.9 | 16.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 47.4 | 40.5 | 75.3 | -1.62 | 58.7 | 52.3 |
| Nathan Plotner | - | 21 | 31.9 | 14.7 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 17.2 | 99 | 4.7 | 15.7 | 59.8 | 33.3 | 58.2 | 1.34 | 61.1 | 60.0 |
| Alex Acosta | - | 21 | 26.3 | 12.5 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 12.3 | 97 | 4.6 | 18.0 | 57.6 | 27.8 | 59.2 | 0.24 | 60.8 | 59.1 |
| Michael Plasko | - | 17 | 22.2 | 12.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 5.5 | 40 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 46.2 | 30.8 | 72.7 | 0.23 | 54.1 | 50.9 |
| Colin Ryan | - | 15 | 28.9 | 11.6 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 12.3 | 48 | 2.2 | 15.6 | 53.5 | 33.3 | 48.6 | 1.69 | 54.1 | 53.9 |
| Matthew Carte | - | 21 | 24.8 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 122 | 5.8 | 26.0 | 34.6 | 29.9 | 69.8 | 2.4 | 46.3 | 42.3 |
| Matt Seidl | - | 21 | 32.9 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 8.0 | 9.7 | 119 | 5.7 | 19.3 | 46.2 | 25.0 | 65.9 | 1.53 | 54.6 | 50.3 |
| Quinton Burlenski | - | 21 | 27.0 | 9.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 78 | 3.7 | 15.1 | 42.5 | 34.0 | 78.3 | -0.27 | 56.9 | 52.8 |
| Addison Newkirk | - | 14 | 23.3 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 9.9 | -30 | -1.6 | -10.9 | 46.9 | 27.3 | 70.2 | -0.88 | 56.6 | 51.6 |
| John Loughlin | - | 12 | 21.6 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 45.9 | 46.6 | 53.3 | 0.91 | 68.2 | 68.9 |
| AJ Thomas | - | 15 | 23.8 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.9 | 7.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 37.5 | 29.7 | 74.0 | -1.28 | 55.5 | 48.3 |
| Cameron Rowell | - | 17 | 19.5 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 22 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 48.0 | 33.3 | 67.4 | -1.13 | 55.0 | 51.0 |
| Bryce Breeden | - | 15 | 16.2 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 55 | 2.5 | 24.3 | 40.7 | 29.7 | 66.7 | 1.36 | 54.2 | 52.5 |
| Kevin Die' | - | 15 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 33.3 | 81.2 | 1.76 | 44.7 | 39.2 |
| Daniel Buttemere | - | 15 | 12.1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 57 | 3.0 | 35.0 | 42.9 | 22.7 | 53.8 | 3.42 | 49.3 | 48.0 |
| Nick Colucci | - | 13 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 53.6 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -1.1 | 58.6 | 55.4 |
| Jackson Ransom | - | 15 | 19.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 4.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -123.4 | 40.6 | 50.0 | 77.8 | -1.37 | 56.4 | 48.4 |
| Ari Hobson | - | 13 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 26 | 1.3 | 26.7 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 54.5 | 0.89 | 39.7 | 36.8 |
| Nick Sukernek | - | 21 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | -18 | -0.9 | -9.6 | 30.4 | 27.5 | 50.0 | -1.81 | 43.7 | 42.4 |
| Raine Gratzmiller | - | 1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 35.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Mill Chapman | - | 9 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 15 | 1.5 | 46.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.11 | 61.8 | 58.3 |
| Coen Locklear | - | 6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.3 | 87.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Zack Duncan | - | 6 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Josh Chambers | - | 9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.38 | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Ishaan Bhadouria | - | 3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Parker Schramm | - | 12 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | -4 | -0.3 | -4.6 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | -1.88 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Alex Fannéy | - | 7 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brandon Learn | - | 3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 22.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Lucas Luteran | - | 3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -2 | -0.7 | -50.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Connor Roberts | - | 2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Dakota Gordon | - | 8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 23 | 2.3 | 195.7 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 37.1 | 33.3 |
| Harrison Sowers | - | 6 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Conor Roberton | - | 8 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | -5 | -0.4 | -8.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Michael Pfeuffer | - | 3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -179.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Errett | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaxon Specht | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Rhyne | - | 3 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -0.3 | 5 | 1.7 | 131.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG