Wartburg Knights
Also known as: Wartburg Knights
Program History
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#505) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 974 (#581) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 999 (#194) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.3 (#922) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.9 (#494) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.470 (#360) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.227 (#503) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#479) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#323) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-10 | @ | Northern Iowa Panthers | L | 50 - 103 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Murphy
|
- | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -4.0 | -13 | -1.0 | -7.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.06 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
D. Crawford
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 77 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.86 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
E. Diemer
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 29.1 | 33.3 |
T. Dismore
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
T. Perkins
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG