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Warren Wilson

Also known as: Warren Wilson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1022 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 912 (#603) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -40.6 (#678) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.005 (#647) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -64.8 More → 0.000 (#751) AdjNet -64.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -64.8 More → 0.000 (#745) AdjNet -64.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 47.8 | AdjD 89.2 More → 0.023 (#748) AdjO 47.8 | AdjD 89.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.066 (#697) AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 75.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.054 (#679) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.063 (#682) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-02-10 vs Bluefield St. - Preview
2021-03-01 vs Bluefield St. L 54 - 96
2021-03-04 @ Bluefield St. - Preview

2021 Roster

No roster data available for this season.