🐻⬇️🏀

Warren Wilson

Also known as: Warren Wilson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1022 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 912 (#603) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -40.6 (#678) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.005 (#647) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -64.8 More → 0.000 (#751) AdjNet -64.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -64.8 More → 0.000 (#745) AdjNet -64.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 47.8 | AdjD 89.2 More → 0.023 (#748) AdjO 47.8 | AdjD 89.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.066 (#697) AdjO 45.9 | AdjD 75.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.055 (#679) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.063 (#682) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 @ Lees-McRae L 44 - 107

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ori Galloway - 1 39.7 12.0 8.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 9.0 10.0 6.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 60.0 - 41.7 30.0
Ellie Martin - 1 26.7 9.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 0.0 47 2.1 13.6 33.3 16.7 50.0 0.37 41.8 38.9
Tatyana Lewis - 1 29.8 9.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 20.0 0.0 - 36.2 37.5
Briah Clarke - 1 32.1 8.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 -2.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 0 - 36.4 36.4
Hailey Ripley - 1 20.1 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Nesha Oliver - 1 22.5 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Brea Batts - 1 7.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Twig Barnes - 1 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kiera Littlejohn - 1 11.1 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG