Warren Wilson Owls
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 896 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 845 (#554) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#676) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.6 (#376) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.8 (#736) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.039 (#769) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.014 (#764) | AdjNet -36.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.013 (#764) | AdjNet -36.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.061 (#774) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 97.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.186 (#747) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 85.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.113 (#740) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.124 (#733) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 817 (#535) | RD 135 | GP 16 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | @ | App State | L | 74 - 142 |
| 2022-11-11 | @ | Sewanee | L | 101 - 131 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 94 - 117 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Brevard | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | Berry | L | 63 - 105 |
| 2022-11-20 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 80 - 102 |
| 2022-11-23 | vs | St. Andrews | L | 84 - 92 |
| 2022-11-27 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 88 - 94 |
| 2022-11-29 | vs | Brevard | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2022-12-02 | vs | Asbury | L | 82 - 101 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Berea | L | 76 - 91 |
| 2022-12-07 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 70 - 122 |
| 2022-12-16 | vs | William Peace | - | Preview |
| 2022-12-18 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 48 - 120 |
| 2023-01-17 | vs | Bob Jones | W | 84 - 69 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Mars Hill | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2023-01-22 | vs | MUW | W | 109 - 86 |
| 2023-01-30 | vs | Pensacola Christian | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2023-02-01 | vs | JWU (Charlotte) | L | 99 - 106 |
| 2023-02-05 | @ | Regent | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2023-02-07 | @ | Bob Jones | L | 91 - 110 |
| 2023-02-09 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | MUW | L | 55 - 95 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | JWU (Charlotte) | - | Preview |
| 2023-02-20 | @ | Morris | - | Preview |
| 2023-02-23 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | L | 72 - 87 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.