Warren Wilson Owls
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 896 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 845 (#554) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#676) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.6 (#376) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.8 (#736) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.039 (#769) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.014 (#764) | AdjNet -36.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.013 (#764) | AdjNet -36.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.061 (#774) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 97.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.186 (#747) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 85.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.113 (#740) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.124 (#733) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 817 (#542) | RD 134 | GP 17 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-14 | @ | Emory & Henry | L | 61 - 95 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Berry | L | 60 - 86 |
| 2021-11-21 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 73 - 100 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | N.C. Central | L | 32 - 110 |
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Western Caro. | L | 47 - 102 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Bob Jones | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2021-12-07 | vs | Brevard | L | 49 - 57 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Franciscan | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2021-12-13 | vs | Regent | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2022-01-28 | vs | Apprentice | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2022-02-02 | @ | JWU (Charlotte) | L | 71 - 100 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Apprentice | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Mid-Atlantic Christ. | W | 78 - 76 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.