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Warren Wilson Owls

Also known as: Warren Wilson Owls
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 990 (#408) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -35.7 (#1088) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -13.8 (#506) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.447 (#439) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#458) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.304 (#456) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 884 (#441) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-01-07 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 53 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Ali R. Ali - 1 28.0 11.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Johnson T. Johnson - 1 26.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 139 4.1 5.9 0 0 0 0.56 0 0
A. Barringer A. Barringer - 1 26.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Oktay T. Oktay - 1 22.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Jackson D. Jackson - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 65 1.8 2.9 0 0 0 1.2 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG