🐻⬇️🏀

Warner

Season: 2026 2024 2017
Also known as: Warner
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#349) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#273) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1016 (#322) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +6.5 (#266) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.833 (#281) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.2 More → 0.408 (#397) AdjNet -3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.398 (#397) AdjNet -3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 81.3 More → 0.467 (#374) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 81.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.575 (#252) AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.625 (#291) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.612 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 296 | GP 1 More → 1077 (#237) RD 296 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-18 vs Mitchell W 103 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaiden Miller - 1 21.0 24.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 16.0 41 2.0 8.6 68.8 50.0 100.0 1.12 73.0 71.9
Bryan Castillo - 1 28.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 20.0 100.0 - 63.8 55.0
Joshua Rogosich - 1 20.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 123.0 125.0
Jason Ogbolu - 1 13.0 9.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 33.3 - 54.1 57.1
Logan West - 1 14.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 90.2 100.0
Blaize Darling Jr. - 1 32.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 15 0.8 4.8 20.0 0.0 100.0 0.64 34.0 20.0
Skyler Scull - 1 16.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Johnathan Joseph - 1 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Lewis Jones - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kemo Cansler - 1 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Tandy Russell - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG