Mitchell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 897 (#535) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 869 (#535) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#702) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.0 (#267) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.4 (#604) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#613) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.111 (#634) | AdjNet -18.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.104 (#635) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.216 (#642) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.356 (#624) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 80.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.262 (#618) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.267 (#620) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 829 (#539) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Manhattanville | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Dean | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Purchase | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | CCNY | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Hartford | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | New Haven | L | 69 - 92 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Anna Maria | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Rivier | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | JWU (Providence) | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Warner | L | 78 - 103 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Webber Int'l | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Rivier | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Elms | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | New England Col. | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Regis (MA) | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | L | 90 - 93 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Dean | L | 86 - 88 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Norwich | W | 71 - 68 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquris Slaughter | - | 1 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Troy Butler | - | 18 | 30.3 | 18.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 17.1 | 5.2 | 49 | 2.9 | 18.8 | 38.3 | 29.8 | 73.2 | 2.87 | 48.6 | 43.8 |
| Jamir Harvey | - | 1 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 63.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.49 | 73.1 | 68.2 |
| Abdul Mansaray | - | 19 | 31.7 | 15.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 11.8 | 14.5 | -43 | -2.4 | -18.2 | 55.1 | 0 | 57.3 | -0.56 | 56.6 | 55.1 |
| Orlando Thomas | - | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 59.7 | 55.0 |
| Gabriel Sorensen | - | 1 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 70.0 | - | 62.5 | 50.0 |
| Brandon Lee | - | 16 | 29.1 | 11.2 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.2 | 12.1 | -31 | -1.8 | -8.6 | 52.7 | 0.0 | 30.0 | -1.08 | 49.1 | 52.7 |
| Aiden MacLeod | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | -21 | -2.3 | -7.6 | 44.4 | 0 | 100.0 | -4.16 | 47.7 | 44.4 |
| Gehrig Brynda | - | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 42 | 3.2 | 13.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 1.62 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Zachary O'Callaghan | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rob Elliott | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | -20 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 30.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -4.1 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Khalyl Simmons | - | 1 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| Josh Robie | - | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 38 | 2.9 | 15.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.07 | 52.7 | 50.0 |
| David Stallworth | - | 13 | 17.3 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 8 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 50.8 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 0.19 | 60.1 | 55.7 |
| Matthew Carter | - | 3 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 3.0 | -90 | -12.9 | -75.3 | 47.1 | 50.0 | 40.0 | -0.69 | 49.5 | 50.0 |
| Adrian Alicea | - | 17 | 15.1 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 2.7 | -58 | -3.9 | -152.5 | 34.9 | 32.8 | 69.7 | -1.69 | 51.7 | 47.1 |
| Zaveyn Tate | - | 17 | 18.1 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.2 | 0.0 | 59.4 | -0.74 | 64.0 | 63.2 |
| Ned Fitzpatrick | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 76 | 4.8 | 23.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| Jaxyn Beaudet | - | 18 | 14.5 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 7.1 | 17 | 0.9 | 16.6 | 50.0 | 23.5 | 50.0 | -0.72 | 53.5 | 53.0 |
| Tommy Daly | - | 19 | 24.7 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 3.6 | -48 | -3.4 | -59.4 | 42.3 | 43.5 | 66.7 | -1.32 | 49.6 | 48.7 |
| Collin Jefferson | - | 19 | 14.5 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 | -20 | -1.0 | -9.2 | 40.3 | 41.3 | 63.6 | 1.98 | 55.7 | 54.5 |
| Tyrese Acevedo | - | 1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15 | 3.0 | 58.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.56 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jovon Rosse | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Shawn O'Keefe | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -7 | -0.8 | -16.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Lukas Sward | - | 15 | 14.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | -85 | -4.7 | -43.7 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 81.0 | -1.81 | 46.3 | 34.3 |
| Luke Pavia | - | 13 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | -52 | -4.7 | -201.0 | 29.6 | 26.7 | 82.4 | -2.21 | 49.3 | 37.0 |
| Lynwood Cogdell | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 3 | 1.0 | 61.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -1.19 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ryan Elliott | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 2.6 | 149.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.54 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kenray Emadamerho | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -0.8 | -4.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Adam Gardner | - | 4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -45 | -11.2 | -568.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.35 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Amir Benelbasry | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| Montrell Bell | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Montreal McCullough | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Max Waters | - | 5 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke Montejo | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | 27 | 2.1 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hunter Zancan | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 1.7 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG