🐻⬇️🏀

Warner

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Warner
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#208) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 925 (#397) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 978 (#412) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -28.2 (#567) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.006 (#665) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.2 More → 0.057 (#658) AdjNet -24.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.5 More → 0.051 (#666) AdjNet -24.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 81.9 More → 0.160 (#662) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 81.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 79.0 More → 0.288 (#548) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 79.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.129 (#568) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.156 (#565) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 304 | GP 2 More → 897 (#362) RD 304 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 @ Rollins L 49 - 119
2025-12-15 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 53 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bryan Castillo - 2 24.0 10.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 4.5 8.5 4.0 - - - 41.2 33.3 80.0 - 54.7 50.0
Skyler Scull - 2 24.2 10.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 9.5 1.5 - - - 42.1 33.3 50.0 - 50.3 50.0
Kemo Cansler - 2 22.4 6.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.5 3.0 - - - 45.5 0.0 75.0 - 50.9 45.5
Blaize Darling Jr. - 2 22.6 6.5 5.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 5.0 115 5.2 37.2 33.3 30.0 0 1.14 43.3 43.3
Jason Ogbolu - 1 17.1 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 42.5 40.0
Joshua Rogosich - 1 19.3 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 64.4 50.0
Logan West - 2 19.2 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 30.0 20.0 0 - 35.0 35.0
Tandy Russell - 2 20.8 2.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 31.2 31.2
Joshua Glesil - 1 24.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 -7.0 - - - 9.1 0.0 0.0 - 8.4 9.1
Jack Voth - 1 12.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lewis Jones - 1 11.7 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 35 1.8 16.0 0.0 0.0 0 1.03 0.0 0.0
Johnathan Joseph - 1 18.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -21 -3.0 -57.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.88 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG