🐻⬇️🏀

Warner Pacific

Season: 2026 2022 2015
Also known as: Warner Pacific
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#244) -
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 983 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1019 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 958 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 985 (#476) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -19.7 (#599) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#41) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#728) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -73.1 More → 0.000 (#508) NetEff -73.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.1 More → 0.959 (#142) AdjNet +27.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -49.8 More → 0.003 (#720) AdjNet -49.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.1 More → 0.964 (#139) AdjNet +27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -48.8 More → 0.002 (#719) AdjNet -48.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 48.6 More → 0.728 (#227) AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 48.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 92.4 More → 0.028 (#739) AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 92.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.353 (#575) AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.288 (#532) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.304 (#527) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 302 | GP 2 More → 947 (#302) RD 302 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-10 @ Western Ore. L 48 - 107
2025-12-11 @ William Jewell W 58 - 30

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dekota Smith - 1 25.2 13.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 24 1.1 7.1 50.0 50.0 100.0 2.11 66.6 56.2
Kayla Peoples - 1 32.0 13.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 14.0 - - - 55.6 60.0 0 - 72.2 72.2
Kayla Jones - 1 18.4 11.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 5.0 35 5.0 76.4 44.4 25.0 100.0 -0.81 55.7 50.0
Maggie Lapray - 1 17.6 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 -1.0 - - - 30.0 42.9 0 - 45.0 45.0
Alexa Mee - 1 20.7 8.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 - - - 42.9 0 100.0 - 50.8 42.9
SKylar Groesbeck - 1 19.2 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 66.7 - 54.6 50.0
Matty Woolf - 1 13.7 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Nava'eh Diaz-Doolin - 1 17.6 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 38.7 16.7
Bryten Gumke - 1 19.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 64.4 50.0
Kiki Brooks - 1 13.8 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 50.0 - 51.5 50.0
Aliya Wagamon - 1 9.5 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Amaria Turner - 1 10.4 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Cortlynn Jackson - 1 12.3 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Emiko Nagai - 1 15.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Alex Saunders - 1 13.2 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
KJ Custer - 1 20.8 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -5.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Josie Schultz - 1 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kayla Carman - 1 13.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Reagan Pavesi - 1 13.3 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Meghanna Freehill - 1 21.6 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Lauren Katyryniuk - 1 16.6 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Riley Layton - 1 9.6 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
SK Hicks - 1 9.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -48 -2.8 -34.6 0 0 0 -2.09 0 0
Breacia Carter - 1 18.6 0.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Taniyah Crawford - 1 1.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 54 2.7 20.7 0 0 0 1.95 0 0
Chudear Mach - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Eleni Stefanaki - 1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG