Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 955 (#329) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#320) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.2 (#504) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.002 (#716) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.083 (#633) | AdjNet -20.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.077 (#643) | AdjNet -20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.134 (#680) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 97.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.415 (#444) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.303 (#466) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.332 (#445) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 919 (#329) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-24 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 55 - 113 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Peeters | - | 1 | 19.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 84 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 62.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.61 | 73.5 | 62.5 |
| Malik Willingham | - | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 121 | 10.1 | 14.1 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 2.92 | 43.0 | 41.2 |
| Elijah Hazekamp | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 97 | 8.1 | 12.1 | 40.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 1.46 | 59.7 | 55.0 |
| Kyreese Willingham | - | 1 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 115 | 9.6 | 15.1 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 2.73 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Justin Eagins | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 89 | 7.4 | 10.4 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.14 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Brady Williams | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 61 | 5.1 | 12.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.24 | 92.6 | 100.0 |
| Will Opsahl | - | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 93.1 | 100.0 |
| Dawson Rudolph | - | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -9 | -1.8 | -38.2 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.66 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Malcolm Jones | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 13 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sam Nissen | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -6 | -1.0 | -16.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.44 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Hamahrie Bowers | - | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 19 | 4.8 | 1824.0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.77 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Tyrell Stuttley | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -9 | -1.5 | -36.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.64 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Harrison Braudis | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 20 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 14.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.41 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Chase Bartlett | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -51 | -3.2 | -167.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mason Muller | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -12 | -1.7 | -48.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.66 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG