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Waldorf

Season: 2026 2024 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Waldorf
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 955 (#329) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 994 (#320) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -15.2 (#504) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#716) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.8 More → 0.083 (#633) AdjNet -20.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.7 More → 0.077 (#643) AdjNet -20.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 97.0 More → 0.134 (#680) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 97.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.4 More → 0.415 (#444) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 80.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.303 (#466) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.332 (#445) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 919 (#329) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-29 @ Minnesota St. L 80 - 119

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Malcolm Jones - 1 20.5 19.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 20.0 -7 -0.3 -1.5 69.2 0 100.0 2.94 70.7 69.2
Caden Kirkman - 1 21.5 16.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 16.0 17 0.7 3.9 87.5 0 50.0 0.31 82.0 87.5
Arhman Lewis - 1 22.1 16.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 96 4.2 14.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.69 114.3 114.3
Joe Buchanan - 1 9.4 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 -2 -0.2 -2.1 66.7 66.7 0 1.09 100.0 100.0
Traijan Sain - 1 18.3 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 2 0.1 0.4 50.0 50.0 100.0 -2.54 59.2 56.2
Carson Schweim - 1 17.4 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 55 2.8 22.3 50.0 100.0 100.0 3.46 72.7 66.7
Chase Bartlett - 1 15.2 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 -52 -2.7 -50.9 75.0 50.0 100.0 1.41 92.2 87.5
David Harmon - 1 13.1 8.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 -15 -1.1 -10.8 60.0 50.0 100.0 1.33 73.5 70.0
Colton Benson - 1 20.8 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 103 4.7 20.3 37.5 25.0 0 2.47 43.8 43.8
Phoenix Childs - 1 4.5 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 30 2.3 13.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 -0.09 69.4 75.0
Puolrah Gong - 1 16.3 3.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 -32 -2.0 -120.2 100.0 0 50.0 -2.66 79.8 100.0
Will Opsahl - 1 5.8 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 122 5.3 24.1 50.0 0.0 50.0 2.71 52.1 50.0
AJ Bender - 1 15.2 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0.0 - 29.1 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG