Wake Forest
2013 Team Stats (5 games)
63.6
PPG
77.4
Opp
-13.8
Margin
42.3%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
26.4
RPG
14.2
APG
18.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
64.0
Adj Opp PPG
#99
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1097 (#106) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1021 (#147) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 950 (#226) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.5 (#94) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.6 (#81) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.316 (#230) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.768 (#93) | AdjNet +10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.774 (#94) | AdjNet +10.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.616 (#99) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.525 (#135) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.611 (#107) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.593 (#111) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1016 (#148) | RD 154 | GP 31 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-11 | vs | Coppin State Eagles | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2012-11-14 | vs | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2012-11-18 | @ | Kansas Jayhawks | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2012-11-22 | @ | UConn Huskies | L | 34 - 95 |
| 2012-11-23 | vs | Purdue Boilermakers | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2012-11-24 | vs | Marist Red Foxes | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2012-12-01 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 77 - 57 |
| 2012-12-04 | vs | Florida A&M Rattlers | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2012-12-08 | vs | Seton Hall Pirates | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ | Virginia Tech Hokies | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2012-12-29 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2012-12-31 | vs | Nevada Wolf Pack | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2013-01-06 | vs | NC State Wolfpack | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2013-01-10 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2013-01-13 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 44 - 73 |
| 2013-01-17 | vs | Clemson Tigers | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ | Boston College Eagles | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2013-01-24 | vs | Miami Hurricanes | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2013-01-27 | vs | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2013-01-31 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2013-02-03 | @ | NC State Wolfpack | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2013-02-08 | vs | Maryland Terrapins | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2013-02-10 | vs | Boston College Eagles | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2013-02-14 | @ | North Carolina Tar Heels | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2013-02-17 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2013-02-21 | vs | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2013-02-25 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2013-02-28 | vs | Virginia Tech Hokies | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2013-03-03 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | L | 61 - 88 |
| 2013-03-07 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | W | 86 - 67 |
| 2013-03-08 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | L | 81 - 92 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L. Boykin
|
NA | 5 | 0.0 | 16.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 6.6 | -62 | 26 | -2.4 | -2.9 | 42.7 | 41.7 | 81.8 | 1.39 | 52.0 | 49.3 |
M. Rose
|
G | 4 | 0.0 | 13.8 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 10.5 | -48 | 26 | -1.8 | -2.9 | 53.7 | 100.0 | 71.4 | 1.65 | 58.3 | 54.9 |
C. Douglas
|
G | 5 | 0.0 | 13.4 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 11.4 | 3.8 | -89 | 26 | -3.4 | -4.2 | 38.6 | 44.0 | 63.2 | -0.56 | 51.3 | 48.2 |
S. Garcia
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 11.3 | -67 | 26 | -2.6 | -4.8 | 68.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.46 | 69.7 | 68.8 |
A. Williams
|
NA | 5 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -57 | 26 | -2.2 | -2.8 | 35.0 | 15.4 | 60.0 | 0.97 | 40.5 | 37.5 |
M. Walker
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12 | 25 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.72 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
L. Wright
|
C | 2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | -22 | 26 | -0.8 | -3.2 | 11.1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.87 | 10.1 | 11.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG