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Wake Forest

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Wake Forest
Program History
Coach: Danny Manning

2018 Team Stats (8 games)

71.4
PPG
78.2
Opp
-6.9
Margin
42.2%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
81.1%
FT%
34.9
RPG
13.6
APG
13.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.1
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#92
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1049 (#138) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 975 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 913 (#291) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +6.7 (#86) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +5.8 (#99) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.460 (#199) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.4 More → 0.769 (#84) AdjNet +10.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.6 More → 0.772 (#83) AdjNet +10.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.630 (#92) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.528 (#139) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.582 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.562 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 31 More → 994 (#178) RD 140 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 83 - 85
2017-11-14 vs Liberty Flames L 66 - 79
2017-11-17 vs Drake Bulldogs L 74 - 77
2017-11-18 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 72 - 55
2017-11-19 vs Houston Cougars L 73 - 78
2017-11-24 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 81 - 75
2017-11-28 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 80 - 73
2017-12-02 vs Richmond Spiders W 82 - 53
2017-12-05 @ Charlotte 49ers W 80 - 57
2017-12-08 vs Army Black Knights W 109 - 80
2017-12-18 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 84 - 80
2017-12-23 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 60 - 79
2017-12-30 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 73
2018-01-03 vs Syracuse Orange W 73 - 67
2018-01-06 @ Boston College Eagles L 71 - 77
2018-01-10 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 75 - 83
2018-01-13 @ Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 89
2018-01-18 @ NC State Wolfpack L 63 - 72
2018-01-21 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 49 - 59
2018-01-23 vs Duke Blue Devils L 70 - 84
2018-01-27 @ Louisville Cardinals L 77 - 96
2018-01-31 vs Florida State Seminoles W 76 - 72
2018-02-03 vs Clemson Tigers L 67 - 75
2018-02-07 @ Miami Hurricanes L 81 - 87
2018-02-11 @ Syracuse Orange L 70 - 78
2018-02-14 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 79 - 62
2018-02-17 vs NC State Wolfpack L 84 - 90
2018-02-21 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 63 - 57
2018-02-24 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 71 - 76
2018-03-03 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 56 - 64
2018-03-06 @ Syracuse Orange L 64 - 73

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bryant Crawford Bryant Crawford G 28 31.9 16.7 3.0 4.9 1.5 0.1 3.4 5.5 17.3 -15 29 -0.5 -0.7 37.7 40.3 81.8 1.51 135.0 45.8
Keyshawn Woods Keyshawn Woods G 25 25.2 11.5 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.0 1.6 3.4 11.7 -42 26 -1.6 -2.7 43.0 30.0 81.0 -0.83 150.7 48.3
Doral Moore Doral Moore C 28 25.4 11.0 9.4 0.3 0.3 1.9 1.3 2.5 19.0 36 29 1.2 2.0 67.1 0 43.8 4.56 199.2 67.1
Brandon Childress Brandon Childress G 28 26.2 9.2 2.7 3.7 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.4 11.3 -29 29 -1.0 -1.6 40.0 35.0 76.2 1.97 124.2 47.4
Mitchell Wilbekin Mitchell Wilbekin G 25 26.4 8.6 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.8 2.6 9.6 -89 26 -3.4 -5.4 34.8 36.6 86.7 -1.69 148.8 46.2
Chaundee Brown Jr. Chaundee Brown Jr. - 27 20.4 7.7 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 1.3 2.9 8.1 -4 28 -0.1 -0.3 40.3 41.7 90.9 0.91 126.5 46.8
Olivier Sarr Olivier Sarr - 27 15.3 3.6 3.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 5.4 -91 28 -3.2 -9.1 27.7 30.8 68.2 -2.85 85.6 31.9
Terrence Thompson Terrence Thompson F 28 15.8 3.2 3.7 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 1.6 5.4 -13 29 -0.4 -1.1 38.6 54.5 68.4 -0.85 85.9 45.5
DJ Mitchell DJ Mitchell F 27 11.7 2.9 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.0 4.3 9 28 0.3 1.2 44.4 30.8 60.0 1.62 133.6 51.9
Sam Japhet-Mathias Sam Japhet-Mathias C 5 8.6 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.4 -10 5 -2.0 -9.9 66.7 0 0 -0.66 100.0 66.7
Troy Rike Troy Rike F 7 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 11 8 1.4 59.3 75.0 100.0 0 1.37 87.5 87.5
Melo Eggleston Melo Eggleston G 19 4.8 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.1 9 19 0.5 4.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.03 260.4 0.0
Aaron Spivey Aaron Spivey G 7 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 7 6 1.2 37.8 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.28 61.5 50.0
Sunday Okeke Sunday Okeke F 17 5.2 0.4 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.0 -4 18 -0.2 -2.4 0.0 0 0 -0.23 116.7 0.0
Britton Anderson Britton Anderson G 6 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 8 6 1.3 43.2 0.0 0 0 0.75 100.0 0.0
Anthony Bilas Anthony Bilas G 5 1.2 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 7 6 1.2 46.7 0 0 0 0.31 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG