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Wake Forest

Also known as: Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Wake Forest
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1337 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1178 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More → 1129 (#29) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +12.5 (#35) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → +13.2 (#32) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.711 (#61) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.6 More → 0.915 (#27) AdjNet +20.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.9 More → 0.918 (#27) AdjNet +20.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.751 (#33) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.690 (#30) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.816 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.807 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 36 More → 1234 (#32) RD 84 | GP 36

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-20 vs Campbell W 87 - 45
1999-11-22 @ Navy W 90 - 55
1999-11-27 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore W 85 - 60
1999-11-30 vs Wisconsin W 67 - 48
1999-12-04 vs Temple W 77 - 72
1999-12-11 N Georgia L 67 - 68
1999-12-15 vs UNC Greensboro W 71 - 62
1999-12-17 vs High Point W 79 - 35
1999-12-20 @ Arkansas W 70 - 64
1999-12-28 N Oregon L 66 - 67
1999-12-29 N Ohio W 84 - 78
1999-12-30 N Villanova L 57 - 70
2000-01-04 vs Florida State L 64 - 66
2000-01-09 @ Clemson W 67 - 53
2000-01-12 vs North Carolina W 66 - 57
2000-01-16 @ NC State L 56 - 76
2000-01-19 @ Maryland L 51 - 73
2000-01-22 vs Duke L 61 - 75
2000-01-27 @ Georgia Tech W 60 - 46
2000-01-30 vs Virginia L 67 - 76
2000-02-02 @ Davidson L 49 - 54
2000-02-05 @ Florida State L 61 - 66
2000-02-08 vs Clemson W 79 - 63
2000-02-12 @ North Carolina L 64 - 87
2000-02-15 vs NC State W 71 - 53
2000-02-19 vs Maryland L 67 - 73
2000-02-22 @ Duke L 78 - 96
2000-02-27 vs Georgia Tech W 76 - 64
2000-03-02 @ Virginia W 80 - 75
2000-03-10 N North Carolina W 58 - 52
2000-03-11 N Duke L 73 - 82
2000-03-14 @ Vanderbilt W 83 - 68
2000-03-21 vs New Mexico W 72 - 65
2000-03-24 vs California W 76 - 59
2000-03-28 N NC State W 62 - 59
2000-03-30 N Notre Dame W 71 - 61

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.