Wake Forest
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1174 (#67) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1167 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1008 (#148) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.6 (#30) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.5 (#63) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.727 (#53) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.902 (#26) | AdjNet +19.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.900 (#28) | AdjNet +18.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.741 (#31) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.588 (#86) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.731 (#53) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.703 (#62) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1162 (#59) | RD 113 | GP 29 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-23 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 87 - 59 |
| 1991-11-25 | vs | The Citadel | W | 97 - 57 |
| 1991-11-30 | vs | Fairfield | W | 91 - 62 |
| 1991-12-02 | @ | Connecticut | L | 75 - 84 |
| 1991-12-07 | @ | FDU | W | 66 - 43 |
| 1991-12-18 | vs | VMI | W | 74 - 43 |
| 1991-12-21 | @ | Richmond | W | 74 - 60 |
| 1992-01-04 | @ | Clemson | W | 73 - 58 |
| 1992-01-06 | vs | Samford | W | 74 - 45 |
| 1992-01-08 | @ | Virginia | L | 53 - 59 |
| 1992-01-11 | vs | Florida State | L | 85 - 88 |
| 1992-01-16 | vs | North Carolina | L | 79 - 90 |
| 1992-01-18 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 86 - 72 |
| 1992-01-22 | @ | Maryland | W | 86 - 76 |
| 1992-01-25 | @ | Duke | L | 68 - 84 |
| 1992-01-29 | vs | NC State | W | 86 - 73 |
| 1992-02-01 | @ | Florida State | L | 78 - 79 |
| 1992-02-03 | vs | Tulane | W | 69 - 66 |
| 1992-02-08 | @ | North Carolina | L | 78 - 80 |
| 1992-02-12 | vs | Clemson | W | 60 - 48 |
| 1992-02-15 | vs | Virginia | W | 69 - 60 |
| 1992-02-19 | vs | Davidson | W | 76 - 62 |
| 1992-02-23 | vs | Duke | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1992-02-27 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 61 - 80 |
| 1992-03-01 | vs | Temple | W | 83 - 75 |
| 1992-03-05 | vs | Maryland | L | 66 - 77 |
| 1992-03-07 | @ | NC State | L | 74 - 77 |
| 1992-03-13 | N | North Carolina | L | 65 - 80 |
| 1992-03-20 | N | Louisville | L | 58 - 81 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.