🐻⬇️🏀

Wagner

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Wagner
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#171) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1145 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1024 (#270) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +27.7 (#80) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#65) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +54.4 More → 1.000 (#58) NetEff +54.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +46.5 More → 0.996 (#89) AdjNet +46.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +45.9 More → 0.997 (#88) AdjNet +45.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 51.2 More → 0.955 (#75) AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 51.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 54.4 More → 0.852 (#34) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 54.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.935 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.918 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 263 | GP 1 More → 1101 (#159) RD 263 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs SUNY New Paltz - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs New Jersey City - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.