Wagner Seahawks
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 825 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#222) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.6 (#231) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.0 (#219) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.524 (#149) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.224 (#240) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.221 (#239) | AdjNet -10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.384 (#224) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.486 (#166) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.346 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 859 (#244) | RD 170 | GP 26 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-30 | @ | Lehigh | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | American | L | 72 - 79 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Saint Peter's | W | 76 - 69 |
| 1999-12-21 | @ | Fresno State | L | 73 - 95 |
| 1999-12-22 | N | Norfolk State | W | 86 - 67 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 77 - 92 |
| 2000-01-03 | vs | Albany (NY) | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2000-01-05 | @ | Columbia | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Quinnipiac | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2000-01-10 | @ | Central Connecticut State | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Monmouth | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2000-01-17 | vs | FDU | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2000-01-19 | @ | Sacred Heart | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | W | 109 - 99 |
| 2000-01-24 | @ | UMBC | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Long Island University | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 90 - 93 |
| 2000-02-03 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Long Island University | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2000-02-10 | @ | Robert Morris | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | UMBC | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 93 - 79 |
| 2000-02-22 | vs | Sacred Heart | W | 116 - 63 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 88 - 77 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Quinnipiac | L | 83 - 90 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.