Wagner Seahawks
2012 Team Stats (1 games)
42.0
PPG
103.0
Opp
-61.0
Margin
20.0%
FG%
21.7%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
36.0
RPG
11.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
50.8
Adj PPG
69.3
Adj Opp PPG
#333
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 576 (#337) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 594 (#340) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 796 (#343) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -19.7 (#333) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -20.5 (#336) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.051 (#331) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.025 (#331) | AdjNet -31.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.024 (#331) | AdjNet -31.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.157 (#333) | AdjO 50.8 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.216 (#335) | AdjO 53.1 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.090 (#337) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.096 (#337) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 613 (#338) | RD 175 | GP 29 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-11 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 46 - 70 |
| 2011-11-16 | vs | Columbia Lions | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2011-11-22 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | L | 34 - 54 |
| 2011-11-25 | @ | Lafayette Leopards | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2011-11-27 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 44 - 63 |
| 2011-12-03 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | W | 49 - 45 |
| 2011-12-05 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | L | 41 - 72 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ | Colgate Raiders | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 42 - 103 |
| 2011-12-21 | vs | New Hampshire Wildcats | L | 72 - 73 |
| 2011-12-28 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 41 - 84 |
| 2011-12-29 | vs | Elon Phoenix | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2012-01-07 | @ | Monmouth Hawks | L | 42 - 65 |
| 2012-01-09 | @ | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L | 49 - 86 |
| 2012-01-14 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2012-01-16 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | L | 34 - 48 |
| 2012-01-23 | vs | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2012-01-28 | @ | Quinnipiac Bobcats | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2012-01-30 | @ | Sacred Heart Pioneers | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2012-02-04 | vs | Robert Morris Colonials | L | 38 - 55 |
| 2012-02-06 | vs | Saint Francis Red Wolves | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2012-02-11 | vs | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L | 48 - 71 |
| 2012-02-15 | @ | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2012-02-18 | vs | Monmouth Hawks | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2012-02-20 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2012-02-27 | @ | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 53 - 65 |
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
V. Fournier
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | -247 | 21 | -11.8 | -19.0 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 0 | -6.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
J. Kendrick
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | -144 | 21 | -6.9 | -10.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.53 | 44.4 | 20.0 |
K. Clark
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | -1.0 | -214 | 22 | -9.7 | -15.0 | 9.1 | 0 | 75.0 | -3.26 | 19.6 | 9.1 |
K. Hicks
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -114 | 18 | -6.3 | -15.7 | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | -2.95 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
B. Thorpe
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -162 | 21 | -7.7 | -17.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.22 | 14.5 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG