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Wagner Seahawks

Model Outputs

2000-2001
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 893 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 940 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +117 elo More โ†’ 1008 (#146) HCA +117 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -4.8 (#211) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -6.4 (#226) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.639 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.333 (#203) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.2 More โ†’ 0.329 (#203) AdjNet -6.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 79.6 More โ†’ 0.430 (#199) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 79.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 75.6 More โ†’ 0.490 (#166) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 75.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.405 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.417 (#198) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 29 More โ†’ 947 (#189) RD 144 | GP 29

2001 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2000-11-17 vs Brown W 122 - 91
2000-11-21 vs Lehigh W 88 - 71
2000-11-25 @ Michigan L 83 - 98
2000-11-30 vs FDU W 91 - 74
2000-12-02 @ Monmouth L 73 - 87
2000-12-07 @ Saint Francis (PA) L 89 - 90
2000-12-09 @ Robert Morris W 78 - 66
2000-12-18 @ Penn State L 91 - 100
2000-12-22 @ Seton Hall L 82 - 97
2000-12-30 vs American W 78 - 77
2001-01-03 vs Columbia W 83 - 62
2001-01-06 vs Central Connecticut State W 106 - 84
2001-01-08 vs Quinnipiac W 81 - 76
2001-01-13 vs Monmouth L 57 - 62
2001-01-15 vs Mount St. Mary's W 74 - 50
2001-01-20 @ UMBC L 73 - 91
2001-01-22 @ Mount St. Mary's W 81 - 68
2001-01-27 vs Sacred Heart W 75 - 58
2001-01-29 @ FDU L 74 - 83
2001-02-01 vs Saint Francis (PA) L 62 - 66
2001-02-03 vs Robert Morris W 97 - 90
2001-02-08 @ Quinnipiac L 73 - 79
2001-02-15 @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 75 - 91
2001-02-17 @ Sacred Heart W 92 - 70
2001-02-19 @ Central Connecticut State W 91 - 88
2001-02-22 vs Long Island University W 88 - 66
2001-02-25 vs St. Francis Brooklyn L 83 - 87
2001-03-03 N Long Island University W 88 - 83
2001-03-04 N St. Francis Brooklyn L 65 - 72

2001 Roster

No roster data available for this season.