Wagner Seahawks
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 971 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 988 (#152) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1057 (#79) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.1 (#203) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.1 (#193) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.594 (#107) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.318 (#202) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.315 (#203) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.419 (#192) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.513 (#133) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.446 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.465 (#157) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 987 (#150) | RD 147 | GP 30 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-11-18 | @ | Tulane | L | 54 - 70 |
| 1992-12-04 | @ | Colorado | L | 66 - 74 |
| 1992-12-05 | N | Lehigh | W | 87 - 82 |
| 1992-12-16 | N | Iona | L | 67 - 74 |
| 1992-12-19 | @ | Syracuse | L | 52 - 85 |
| 1992-12-28 | N | Akron | W | 76 - 60 |
| 1992-12-29 | @ | Iona | L | 82 - 98 |
| 1993-01-05 | vs | Robert Morris | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1993-01-07 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 76 - 60 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | Long Island University | W | 85 - 70 |
| 1993-01-11 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 78 - 73 |
| 1993-01-16 | @ | Monmouth | L | 57 - 61 |
| 1993-01-21 | vs | FDU | W | 79 - 72 |
| 1993-01-25 | @ | Buffalo | W | 69 - 64 |
| 1993-01-28 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | L | 64 - 69 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Rider | L | 67 - 71 |
| 1993-02-01 | @ | Marist | L | 52 - 57 |
| 1993-02-04 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 69 - 68 |
| 1993-02-06 | @ | Robert Morris | W | 51 - 48 |
| 1993-02-09 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 81 - 78 |
| 1993-02-11 | @ | Long Island University | W | 70 - 67 |
| 1993-02-13 | vs | Monmouth | W | 69 - 59 |
| 1993-02-18 | vs | Marist | W | 81 - 64 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | FDU | L | 72 - 75 |
| 1993-02-22 | vs | Buffalo | W | 90 - 64 |
| 1993-02-25 | @ | Rider | L | 54 - 58 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | W | 77 - 70 |
| 1993-03-03 | vs | Monmouth | W | 75 - 66 |
| 1993-03-04 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 65 - 48 |
| 1993-03-05 | @ | Rider | L | 64 - 65 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.