Wagner Seahawks
Model Outputs
1989-1990
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 903 (#194) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 871 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#175) | HCA +128 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#232) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#220) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.399 (#183) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.182 (#238) | AdjNet -13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.180 (#238) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.343 (#223) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.456 (#180) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.323 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.344 (#210) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 886 (#206) | RD 158 | GP 27 |
1990 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989-11-28 | vs | Saint Peter's | L | 70 - 73 |
| 1989-12-01 | @ | Akron | L | 54 - 67 |
| 1989-12-02 | N | Nicholls State | W | 70 - 63 |
| 1989-12-04 | @ | Yale | L | 50 - 69 |
| 1989-12-12 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 69 - 66 |
| 1989-12-22 | @ | Manhattan | L | 72 - 88 |
| 1989-12-30 | @ | Nebraska | L | 67 - 88 |
| 1990-01-03 | @ | Hofstra | L | 55 - 71 |
| 1990-01-06 | @ | Monmouth | L | 72 - 84 |
| 1990-01-11 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | L | 65 - 73 |
| 1990-01-13 | vs | FDU | W | 93 - 70 |
| 1990-01-15 | vs | Long Island University | L | 78 - 79 |
| 1990-01-23 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 62 - 59 |
| 1990-01-25 | vs | Robert Morris | L | 76 - 80 |
| 1990-01-27 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 73 - 76 |
| 1990-01-29 | @ | Marist | L | 61 - 78 |
| 1990-01-31 | @ | Brooklyn | W | 98 - 78 |
| 1990-02-03 | vs | Monmouth | L | 70 - 73 |
| 1990-02-08 | @ | FDU | W | 70 - 66 |
| 1990-02-10 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | W | 95 - 81 |
| 1990-02-13 | vs | Marist | W | 76 - 69 |
| 1990-02-15 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 78 - 82 |
| 1990-02-17 | @ | Long Island University | W | 98 - 84 |
| 1990-02-22 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 75 - 84 |
| 1990-02-24 | @ | Robert Morris | L | 66 - 67 |
| 1990-02-27 | @ | Marist | W | 69 - 63 |
| 1990-02-28 | N | Monmouth | L | 50 - 71 |
1990 Roster
No roster data available for this season.