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Wabash

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wabash
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1002 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1110 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1083 (#111) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +3.3 (#78) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +1.4 (#327) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.752 (#61) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.7 More → 0.732 (#38) AdjNet +8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.5 More → 0.729 (#39) AdjNet +8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.632 (#41) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 68.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.598 (#219) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 73.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.627 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.624 (#296) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 21 More → 1165 (#85) RD 96 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Hanover W 90 - 61
2025-11-12 vs Rose-Hulman W 85 - 68
2025-11-19 @ Franklin W 92 - 74
2025-11-24 @ WashU L 74 - 82
2025-12-03 vs DePauw L 79 - 89
2025-12-06 vs Oberlin W 82 - 78
2025-12-10 vs Kalamazoo L 84 - 85
2025-12-13 @ John Carroll W 101 - 97
2025-12-20 @ Anderson (IN) W 96 - 88
2025-12-29 vs Berea W 82 - 67
2025-12-30 @ Centre W 75 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Wooster W 89 - 80
2026-01-14 vs Ohio Wesleyan W 82 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Kenyon W 75 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Wittenberg L 65 - 73
2026-01-24 vs John Carroll - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ DePauw - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Denison L 84 - 91
2026-02-07 vs Wooster W 72 - 66
2026-02-11 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 75 - 79
2026-02-14 vs Kenyon W 86 - 79
2026-02-18 vs Wittenberg L 63 - 64
2026-02-21 @ Oberlin L 60 - 65
2026-02-24 @ Wittenberg L 53 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Ellspermann - 21 29.6 15.7 5.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 2.2 11.7 10.5 - - - - 46.9 37.2 81.0 - 58.5 53.5
Rich Brooks - 22 23.4 12.2 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.3 8.3 5.9 - - - - 51.6 41.4 79.6 - 65.8 62.9
Gavin Schippert - 22 29.7 11.0 8.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 7.3 13.4 - - - - 57.1 27.8 56.0 - 62.1 61.8
Josh Whack - 16 26.7 10.9 2.6 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.9 6.9 9.1 - - - - 50.5 36.8 73.7 - 60.6 53.6
Nate Matelic - 22 21.1 10.7 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.1 8.5 5.0 - - - - 47.6 32.7 83.3 - 56.5 52.1
Colton Stowers - 21 25.2 10.1 3.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 8.6 6.0 - - - - 43.9 34.6 61.4 - 53.4 51.7
Deric Cannady - 22 21.0 5.8 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.6 5.1 5.6 - - - - 38.9 33.3 56.0 - 51.2 50.0
Keegan Manowitz - 22 20.5 5.3 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.4 - - - - 39.6 37.5 72.2 - 55.8 53.6
Tyler Horton - 18 7.2 1.7 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 - - - - 60.0 0 70.0 - 63.5 60.0
Arlondo Hall - 11 4.3 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.4 -0.3 - - - - 26.7 18.2 0.0 - 32.4 33.3
Edward Thomas - 6 7.0 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.7 - - - - 16.7 20.0 0.0 - 21.8 25.0
Kadyn Ellery - 11 3.9 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Isaac Rivas - 7 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Drew Cook - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grant Brown - 6 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Randy Kelley - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ed Thomas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tate Whitehead - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
AJ DeFur - 5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG