Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 930 (#387) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 984 (#386) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.7 (#513) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.036 (#569) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.083 (#634) | AdjNet -20.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.081 (#636) | AdjNet -20.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.198 (#628) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 84.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.439 (#408) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.281 (#484) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.304 (#474) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 907 (#350) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-18 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 76 - 100 |
| 2023-11-22 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 59 - 79 |
| 2023-12-01 | @ | North Georgia | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2024-01-23 | @ | Lee | L | 58 - 87 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Champion | - | 1 | 43.0 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 37 | 3.7 | 21.2 | 85.7 | 0 | 38.5 | 0.52 | 73.5 | 85.7 |
| Chris Martin | - | 1 | 30.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 45 | 6.4 | 10.8 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.75 | 60.4 | 55.6 |
| AJ White | - | 1 | 41.0 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | -15 | -1.5 | -9.8 | 43.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 60.3 | 50.0 |
| Eric Jones | - | 1 | 29.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | -17 | -2.1 | -25.6 | 85.7 | 100.0 | 57.1 | -0.12 | 89.3 | 100.0 |
| Shemani Fuller | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -20 | -2.9 | -7.2 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.35 | 60.4 | 55.6 |
| Andrew Stewart | - | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 41 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 41.7 | 37.5 | 0 | 1.79 | 54.2 | 54.2 |
| J.J. Barnes | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -30 | -5.0 | -20.1 | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.09 | 70.7 | 57.1 |
| Beyuan Hendricks | - | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -30 | -6.0 | -20.0 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.08 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jalen Williams | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -63.8 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.88 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Navaughn Maise | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -1043.5 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.77 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Zach Gray | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -464.5 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.77 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Tim Vaughn | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -12 | -0.8 | -8.7 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Jamarcus Wilkins | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -17 | -1.9 | -152.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.03 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Colin Turner | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -49 | -4.9 | -55.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 73.5 | 100.0 |
| Makhi McGuire | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -27 | -5.4 | -63.1 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.39 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Kharye Cayne | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.46 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Elijah Stewart | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -10 | -2.5 | -10.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.04 | 32.6 | 14.3 |
| Noah Boler-Kyle | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -10 | -2.0 | -10.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Tylon Chatman | - | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 47.5 | 40.0 |
| Tariq Daughton | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -25 | -2.3 | -20.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Case Roach | - | 1 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -2.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.43 | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Sutton Smith | - | 1 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Josh Lowe | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -22 | -4.4 | -29.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Hayden Moseley | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Xavier Griffith | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 35 | 5.0 | 20.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.64 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Alex Kelehear | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.92 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Willie Walton | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -65.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.2 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Nesmith | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 26 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.97 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Chase Champion | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -13 | -1.4 | -78.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Elijah Hargrove | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Demetrius Headspeth | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19 | 3.2 | 13.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| T'Micah Jones | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Silas Mason | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mason Matthews | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dez'Mond Perkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 4.5 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'mari Arnold | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Giancarlo Bastianoni | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.5 | -3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Billups, Jr. | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 6.0 | 79.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Cayden Charles | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Zack Hawkinson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| JoJo Peterson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter Shedenhelm | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -21 | -1.9 | -13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Rice | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ben Ritger | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG