Viterbo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1058 (#123) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1102 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1049 (#185) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.9 (#250) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.802 (#304) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.622 (#337) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.613 (#339) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.544 (#339) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.614 (#216) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 60.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.609 (#292) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.611 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1177 (#83) | RD 250 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Wis.-Superior | W | 64 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nora Tucker | - | 1 | 31.5 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | -58 | -3.1 | -24.9 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.07 | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| Carly Drew | - | 1 | 21.2 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 54.2 | 54.2 |
| Lauren Goettl | - | 1 | 18.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 54.6 | 41.7 |
| Pearla Teko-Folly | - | 1 | 13.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Kira John | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Marley Hughes | - | 1 | 33.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 10 | 1.2 | 35.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.91 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Cece Davis | - | 1 | 13.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | -131 | -6.9 | -28.3 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Chloe Auth | - | 1 | 16.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Shayna Williamson | - | 1 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Ashlee Nicolai | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gina Stefferud | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lydia Niederstadt | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Abby Ward | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG