🐻⬇️🏀

Viterbo

Also known as: Viterbo
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1058 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1102 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1049 (#185) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +6.9 (#250) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.802 (#304) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.3 More → 0.622 (#337) AdjNet +4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.613 (#339) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.544 (#339) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.614 (#216) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 60.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.609 (#292) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.611 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 250 | GP 2 More → 1177 (#83) RD 250 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-02 @ Wis.-Superior W 64 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nora Tucker - 1 31.5 22.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 -58 -3.1 -24.9 66.7 66.7 0 -1.07 91.7 91.7
Carly Drew - 1 21.2 13.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 54.2 54.2
Lauren Goettl - 1 18.5 8.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 14.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 54.6 41.7
Pearla Teko-Folly - 1 13.6 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 75.0 0 100.0 - 78.8 75.0
Kira John - 1 23.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 15.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Marley Hughes - 1 33.6 3.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 10 1.2 35.0 20.0 25.0 0 -0.91 30.0 30.0
Cece Davis - 1 13.8 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 -131 -6.9 -28.3 14.3 20.0 0 0.9 21.4 21.4
Chloe Auth - 1 16.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Shayna Williamson - 1 11.4 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0
Ashlee Nicolai - 1 1.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gina Stefferud - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lydia Niederstadt - 1 1.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Abby Ward - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG