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Virginia-Wise Highland Cavaliers

Also known as: Virginia-Wise Highland Cavaliers
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 792 (#1065) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 846 (#1032) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 998 (#231) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -4.5 (#629) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.8 (#382) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.486 (#267) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.401 (#357) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.414 (#343) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 931 (#303) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-03 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 58 - 77

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Maggard T. Maggard - 1 24.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Moore J. Moore - 1 34.0 10.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 10.0 272 8.2 14.6 0 0 0 1.69 0 0
M. Day M. Day - 1 31.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.4 0 0
J. Wright J. Wright - 1 31.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 170 5.0 8.6 0 0 0 1.43 0 0
J. Turner J. Turner - 1 32.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 -5 -0.4 -2.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG