Virginia-Lynchburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 878 (#463) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 718 (#525) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 907 (#608) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.9 (#301) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -29.0 (#646) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.008 (#636) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.003 (#467) | NetEff -37.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.007 (#709) | AdjNet -43.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.006 (#709) | AdjNet -42.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.076 (#702) | AdjO 51.0 | AdjD 78.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.176 (#674) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 76.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.085 (#661) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.097 (#662) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 714 (#504) | RD 236 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Shaw | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 48 - 88 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 49 - 100 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren McClure,DaNiy | - | 1 | 40.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 49.1 | 43.8 |
| Lovely Tua-Link | - | 4 | 30.6 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 41.5 | 33.3 | 68.0 | - | 51.9 | 45.1 |
| DaNiya Warren McClure | - | 4 | 36.0 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 46.5 | 100.0 | 90.9 | - | 53.3 | 47.7 |
| Princess Akojenu | - | 4 | 30.8 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 9.2 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 43.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 50.5 | 43.2 |
| Paris Alana Jones | - | 4 | 26.7 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 45.0 | 50.0 | 45.5 | - | 48.3 | 47.5 |
| Raegan Mason | - | 4 | 22.8 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 27.3 | - | 28.9 | 28.6 |
| Maliyah Hodges | - | 3 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 43.6 | 41.7 |
| Alana Jones,Paris | - | 1 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 29.1 | 16.7 |
| Aletha Bearfield | - | 4 | 18.8 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0 | 42.9 | - | 29.0 | 22.2 |
| Jamilah Hayes | - | 4 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 16.7 | - | 30.7 | 33.3 |
| Ma'Liyah Hodges | - | 1 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Macy Brackett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aalyssa Rogers | - | 1 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG