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Virginia-Lynchburg

Season: 2026 2025 2022 2015
Also known as: Virginia-Lynchburg
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 924 (#503) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 820 (#572) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 893 (#684) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -29.8 (#757) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.021 (#775) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -45.3 More → 0.005 (#783) AdjNet -45.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -45.6 More → 0.005 (#783) AdjNet -45.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 94.3 More → 0.039 (#785) AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 94.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 82.7 More → 0.265 (#696) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 82.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.126 (#728) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.142 (#724) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 221 | GP 2 More → 679 (#616) RD 221 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-09 @ JWU Charlotte L 82 - 94
2026-01-16 @ Warren Wilson L 76 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elijah Johnson - 2 37.2 19.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 15.0 9.5 129 7.2 116.7 40.0 0.0 63.6 1.3 47.9 40.0
Bashir Osholake - 2 28.1 17.5 10.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 12.5 14.0 - - - 40.0 30.0 75.0 - 54.6 46.0
Curtis Holton - 2 27.2 14.0 13.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 2.0 12.0 16.5 - - - 50.0 0 44.4 - 50.1 50.0
Le'nijel Robinson - 2 22.8 6.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.5 4.5 - - - 27.3 0.0 87.5 - 44.8 27.3
Nico Cleaves - 2 22.8 6.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.5 4.5 - - - 27.3 0.0 87.5 - 44.8 27.3
Jacob Newman - 2 17.4 6.5 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 4.0 6.0 101 5.6 22.6 37.5 100.0 60.0 -0.22 52.4 43.8
Isaiah Davis - 1 25.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 -2.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 0 - 30.0 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG