Virginia-Lynchburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 928 (#352) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 711 (#543) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#551) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -48.4 (#322) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -43.9 (#597) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.003 (#698) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.004 (#760) | AdjNet -46.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.004 (#758) | AdjNet -45.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.023 (#765) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 109.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.065 (#603) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 99.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.034 (#600) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.041 (#601) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 652 (#504) | RD 212 | GP 9 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 77 - 94 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 50 - 132 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | L | 75 - 119 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Livingstone | L | 73 - 107 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 55 - 146 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 61 - 95 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Ferrum | L | 64 - 107 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Shaw | L | 72 - 120 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 76 - 112 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mccaskill Rivers | - | 1 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | -42 | -3.0 | -46.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 0.66 | 112.7 | 118.8 |
| James Nipper | - | 1 | 26.4 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | -86 | -4.8 | -44.8 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 54.2 | 55.6 |
| Jemez Herd | - | 1 | 18.5 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | -96 | -6.4 | -101.2 | 70.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.73 | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Bashir Osholake | - | 7 | 22.8 | 13.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 44.9 | 35.5 | 60.0 | - | 53.6 | 51.9 |
| Silah Cybus | - | 5 | 22.6 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 40.7 | 25.0 | 81.8 | - | 51.8 | 44.4 |
| Elijah Johnson | - | 7 | 30.9 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 8.4 | 5.1 | -2 | -0.3 | -114.3 | 39.0 | 100.0 | 78.6 | 0.25 | 54.4 | 39.8 |
| Jonah Lawrence | - | 1 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | -32 | -2.0 | -40.2 | 83.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.34 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jackson Roberts | - | 1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -74.0 | 83.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.1 | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Jacob Hunkins | - | 1 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -59 | -3.5 | -32.2 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.45 | 50.6 | 55.0 |
| Isaiah Davis | - | 7 | 24.5 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 12.1 | 0.7 | -43 | -2.0 | -17.0 | 27.1 | 19.5 | 83.3 | -0.32 | 35.4 | 31.8 |
| Jeremiah Mobley | - | 1 | 19.9 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -23 | -1.3 | -35.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.09 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Jerome Mitchell | - | 6 | 23.8 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | -59 | -1.6 | -17.0 | 38.0 | 26.3 | 57.1 | 1.28 | 44.3 | 43.0 |
| Justin Baxter | - | 1 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -20 | -1.4 | -30.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.14 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Le'nijel Robinson | - | 2 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nico Cleaves | - | 2 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chedlet Delva | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -51 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jacob Newman | - | 6 | 19.1 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.1 | 44.7 |
| Ta'Jae Jenkins | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Juda Egbo | - | 1 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13 | 1.2 | 34.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.36 | 36.2 | 100.0 |
| Andrae Shaw Jr | - | 1 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Erick Coffey | - | 1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -95 | -5.9 | -57.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.93 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Terrance Johnson | - | 2 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 71 | 3.7 | 43.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.38 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Curtis Holton | - | 2 | 15.8 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 14.5 | 16.7 |
| Donovan Leak | - | 1 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Saveon Jackson | - | 3 | 14.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 46 | 2.6 | 50.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Chase Allen | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| Amir Accoo | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dare Amoakohere | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chaundre Bratcher | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Corrigan | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Micha Crews | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Omarion Hairston | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zackary Joppy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaiden Jeffery | - | 1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG