Virginia Tech
2025 Team Stats (32 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1198 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1162 (#81) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 991 (#180) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +17.0 (#46) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +14.2 (#57) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.704 (#100) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.722 (#94) | NetEff +8.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.948 (#46) | AdjNet +25.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.951 (#46) | AdjNet +25.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.803 (#47) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.632 (#81) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.800 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.771 (#69) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1136 (#92) | RD 112 | GP 32 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carleigh Wenzel
|
G | 32 | 29.8 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 12.1 | 7.2 | 98 | 28 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 34.7 | 33.6 | 77.8 | -1.07 | 48.6 | 40.8 |
Carys Baker
|
F | 32 | 34.1 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 9.5 | 11.2 | 131 | 29 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 48.2 | 41.8 | 75.9 | 1.6 | 59.7 | 56.6 |
Rose Micheaux
|
F | 30 | 27.0 | 12.2 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 9.4 | 10.4 | 154 | 27 | 5.7 | 8.9 | 58.2 | 0.0 | 52.1 | 2.73 | 58.3 | 58.2 |
Matilda Ekh
|
G | 32 | 31.5 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 7.0 | 166 | 29 | 5.7 | 7.9 | 45.3 | 39.1 | 88.1 | 4.41 | 58.0 | 55.5 |
Lani White
|
G | 32 | 26.2 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 101 | 29 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 49.1 | 50.0 | 83.9 | 2.52 | 60.5 | 56.7 |
Samyha Suffren
|
G | 10 | 18.9 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 42 | 9 | 4.7 | 9.8 | 56.1 | 40.0 | 83.3 | -1.34 | 62.4 | 57.9 |
Mackenzie Nelson
|
G | 32 | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 140 | 29 | 4.8 | 8.6 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 80.7 | 2.08 | 58.2 | 52.1 |
Kayl Petersen
|
F | 32 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 89 | 29 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 44.9 | 25.6 | 81.0 | 1.93 | 52.7 | 49.6 |
Leila Wells
|
G | 25 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 62 | 23 | 2.7 | 11.9 | 36.7 | 30.8 | 70.0 | 0.53 | 47.8 | 44.9 |
Ramiya White
|
C | 15 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 15 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 37.5 | 0 | 90.0 | -3.22 | 51.5 | 37.5 |
Myah Hazelton
|
C | 8 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2024-2025 Shot Zones
479 located field-goal attempts in 8 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Matilda EkhCarys BakerRose MicheauxCarleigh WenzelLani WhiteKayl Petersen
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 54-90 | 60.0 | 108 | Rose Micheaux 31% (34 pts) | Mackenzie Nelson 22% (24 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 33% (12 misses) | Kayl Petersen 17% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 72-158 | 45.6 | 144 | Rose Micheaux 28% (40 pts) | Matilda Ekh 15% (22 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 24% (21 misses) | Rose Micheaux 20% (17 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 20-49 | 40.8 | 40 | Rose Micheaux 30% (12 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 20% (8 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 34% (10 misses) | Rose Micheaux 21% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 12-25 | 48.0 | 24 | Matilda Ekh 50% (12 pts) | Lani White 33% (8 pts) | Lani White 31% (4 misses) | Matilda Ekh 31% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-24 | 16.7 | 8 | Carys Baker 75% (6 pts) | Lani White 25% (2 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 35% (7 misses) | Mackenzie Nelson 20% (4 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Matilda Ekh 100% (3 pts) | - | Matilda Ekh 40% (2 misses) | Carleigh Wenzel 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-6 | 50.0 | 9 | Carys Baker 33% (3 pts) | Lani White 33% (3 pts) | Kayl Petersen 33% (1 misses) | Mackenzie Nelson 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 20-58 | 34.5 | 60 | Matilda Ekh 45% (27 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 25% (15 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 32% (12 misses) | Carys Baker 21% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 10-26 | 38.5 | 30 | Carys Baker 40% (12 pts) | Matilda Ekh 40% (12 pts) | Matilda Ekh 38% (6 misses) | Carleigh Wenzel 31% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 19-37 | 51.4 | 57 | Carys Baker 37% (21 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 21% (12 pts) | Carleigh Wenzel 28% (5 misses) | Matilda Ekh 28% (5 misses) |