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Virginia Tech

Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2025 Team Stats (32 games)

72.7
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
46.6%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
33.7
RPG
15.5
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.4
Adj PPG
61.9
Adj Opp PPG
#47
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1198 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1162 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 991 (#180) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ +17.0 (#46) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +14.2 (#57) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.704 (#100) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.2 More โ†’ 0.722 (#94) NetEff +8.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.1 More โ†’ 0.948 (#46) AdjNet +25.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.6 More โ†’ 0.951 (#46) AdjNet +25.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.803 (#47) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 65.5 More โ†’ 0.632 (#81) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.800 (#64) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.771 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1136 (#92) RD 112 | GP 32

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 99 - 57
2024-11-10 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 52 - 71
2024-11-13 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 85 - 62
2024-11-16 vs Coppin State Eagles W 86 - 51
2024-11-19 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 91 - 80
2024-11-23 vs Elon Phoenix W 87 - 69
2024-11-29 @ Davidson Wildcats W 79 - 50
2024-11-30 vs Michigan Wolverines L 65 - 76
2024-12-04 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs W 70 - 61
2024-12-08 @ Duke Blue Devils L 59 - 81
2024-12-15 vs Radford Highlanders W 73 - 34
2024-12-21 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 81 - 46
2025-01-02 vs Florida State Seminoles L 74 - 105
2025-01-05 @ Miami Hurricanes W 68 - 64
2025-01-09 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 105 - 94
2025-01-12 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 61 - 54
2025-01-16 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 65 - 73
2025-01-19 vs Louisville Cardinals W 70 - 65
2025-01-23 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 84 - 57
2025-01-26 @ NC State Wolfpack L 57 - 85
2025-01-30 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 61 - 77
2025-02-02 vs SMU Mustangs W 79 - 71
2025-02-06 vs Syracuse Orange L 87 - 93
2025-02-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 87 - 62
2025-02-13 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 62 - 67
2025-02-20 vs Stanford Cardinal L 74 - 75
2025-02-23 vs California Golden Bears W 87 - 84
2025-02-27 @ Boston College Eagles L 89 - 92
2025-03-02 @ Clemson Tigers W 78 - 76
2025-03-06 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 57 - 72
2025-03-20 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 61 - 45
2025-03-23 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 59 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carleigh Wenzel Carleigh Wenzel G 32 29.8 14.0 3.3 3.7 1.2 0.6 3.5 12.1 7.2 98 28 3.5 4.9 34.7 33.6 77.8 -1.07 48.6 40.8
Carys Baker Carys Baker F 32 34.1 12.6 6.2 1.7 0.8 0.8 1.3 9.5 11.2 131 29 4.5 5.7 48.2 41.8 75.9 1.6 59.7 56.6
Rose Micheaux Rose Micheaux F 30 27.0 12.2 7.4 1.4 0.5 0.6 2.3 9.4 10.4 154 27 5.7 8.9 58.2 0.0 52.1 2.73 58.3 58.2
Matilda Ekh Matilda Ekh G 32 31.5 11.9 3.4 2.2 0.7 0.3 1.8 9.7 7.0 166 29 5.7 7.9 45.3 39.1 88.1 4.41 58.0 55.5
Lani White Lani White G 32 26.2 9.6 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.3 1.8 7.2 6.1 101 29 3.5 5.7 49.1 50.0 83.9 2.52 60.5 56.7
Samyha Suffren Samyha Suffren G 10 18.9 8.1 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.1 1.3 5.7 7.0 42 9 4.7 9.8 56.1 40.0 83.3 -1.34 62.4 57.9
Mackenzie Nelson Mackenzie Nelson G 32 24.2 6.0 2.3 3.3 1.2 0.0 1.8 4.4 6.6 140 29 4.8 8.6 50.0 25.0 80.7 2.08 58.2 52.1
Kayl Petersen Kayl Petersen F 32 15.8 4.2 2.9 0.8 0.2 1.0 1.0 3.7 4.3 89 29 3.1 8.3 44.9 25.6 81.0 1.93 52.7 49.6
Leila Wells Leila Wells G 25 9.2 2.0 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.0 1.8 62 23 2.7 11.9 36.7 30.8 70.0 0.53 47.8 44.9
Ramiya White Ramiya White C 15 4.5 1.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.5 5 15 0.3 3.1 37.5 0 90.0 -3.22 51.5 37.5
Myah Hazelton Myah Hazelton C 8 4.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.0 - - - - 40.0 0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024-2025 Shot Zones

479 located field-goal attempts in 8 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Micheaux31% Micheaux28% Micheaux30% Ekh50% Baker75% Ekh100% Baker33% Ekh45% Baker40% Baker37%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wenzel33% Wenzel24% Wenzel34% White31% Wenzel35% Ekh40% Petersen33% Wenzel32% Ekh38% Wenzel28%
Misses: who misses most here

Matilda EkhCarys BakerRose MicheauxCarleigh WenzelLani WhiteKayl Petersen

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 54-90 60.0 108 Rose Micheaux 31% (34 pts) Mackenzie Nelson 22% (24 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 33% (12 misses) Kayl Petersen 17% (6 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 72-158 45.6 144 Rose Micheaux 28% (40 pts) Matilda Ekh 15% (22 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 24% (21 misses) Rose Micheaux 20% (17 misses)
Mid-range left 20-49 40.8 40 Rose Micheaux 30% (12 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 20% (8 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 34% (10 misses) Rose Micheaux 21% (6 misses)
Mid-range center 12-25 48.0 24 Matilda Ekh 50% (12 pts) Lani White 33% (8 pts) Lani White 31% (4 misses) Matilda Ekh 31% (4 misses)
Mid-range right 4-24 16.7 8 Carys Baker 75% (6 pts) Lani White 25% (2 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 35% (7 misses) Mackenzie Nelson 20% (4 misses)
Left corner 3 1-6 16.7 3 Matilda Ekh 100% (3 pts) - Matilda Ekh 40% (2 misses) Carleigh Wenzel 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-6 50.0 9 Carys Baker 33% (3 pts) Lani White 33% (3 pts) Kayl Petersen 33% (1 misses) Mackenzie Nelson 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 20-58 34.5 60 Matilda Ekh 45% (27 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 25% (15 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 32% (12 misses) Carys Baker 21% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 center 10-26 38.5 30 Carys Baker 40% (12 pts) Matilda Ekh 40% (12 pts) Matilda Ekh 38% (6 misses) Carleigh Wenzel 31% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 right 19-37 51.4 57 Carys Baker 37% (21 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 21% (12 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 28% (5 misses) Matilda Ekh 28% (5 misses)