Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | +18.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +28 (85-57). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carys Baker * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -17.2 |
| Carleigh Wenzel * | 34 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 1 | -18.5 |
| Matilda Ekh * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Lani White * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | -12.5 |
| Rose Micheaux * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -17.1 |
| Mackenzie Nelson | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -8.2 |
| Leila Wells | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Kayl Petersen | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Ramiya White | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aziaha James * | 29 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | +20.4 |
| Saniya Rivers * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +25.5 |
| Zoe Brooks * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +24.5 |
| Madison Hayes * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +22.7 |
| Tilda Trygger * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +10.7 |
| Zamareya Jones | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Maddie Cox | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Mallory Collier | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +9.5 |
| Devyn Quigley | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.4 |
| Laci Steele | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.8 |
| Lorena Awou | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
* = starter