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Virginia Tech

Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2019 Team Stats (7 games)

70.6
PPG
65.4
Opp
+5.1
Margin
42.0%
FG%
41.2%
3P%
79.3%
FT%
39.4
RPG
13.1
APG
16.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.9
Adj PPG
58.6
Adj Opp PPG
#38
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1325 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1209 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More โ†’ 1054 (#105) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +16.4 (#41) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +15.6 (#45) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.845 (#39) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.2 More โ†’ 0.949 (#38) AdjNet +25.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.6 More โ†’ 0.951 (#37) AdjNet +25.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 58.6 More โ†’ 0.802 (#38) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 58.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 63.3 More โ†’ 0.713 (#45) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 63.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.833 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.819 (#43) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1199 (#61) RD 104 | GP 34

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 96 - 45
2018-11-10 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 78 - 49
2018-11-13 @ Liberty Flames W 72 - 61
2018-11-16 vs Monmouth Hawks W 82 - 49
2018-11-19 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 74 - 59
2018-11-24 @ Villanova Wildcats W 61 - 59
2018-11-25 @ Richmond Spiders W 85 - 57
2018-11-28 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 67 - 51
2018-12-04 vs Radford Highlanders W 55 - 44
2018-12-16 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 83 - 51
2018-12-20 vs Dayton Flyers W 69 - 57
2018-12-21 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 81 - 73
2018-12-29 vs Longwood Lancers W 93 - 39
2019-01-03 @ Miami Hurricanes L 61 - 68
2019-01-06 vs Syracuse Orange L 73 - 75
2019-01-10 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 58 - 62
2019-01-16 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 51 - 80
2019-01-20 @ NC State Wolfpack L 61 - 70
2019-01-24 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 81
2019-01-27 vs Florida State Seminoles L 54 - 56
2019-01-31 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 74 - 58
2019-02-03 @ Boston College Eagles W 95 - 86
2019-02-10 vs Louisville Cardinals L 63 - 72
2019-02-14 @ Duke Blue Devils W 64 - 57
2019-02-17 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 68 - 76
2019-02-21 vs Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 65
2019-02-24 @ Clemson Tigers L 66 - 73
2019-02-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 63 - 45
2019-03-03 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 69 - 57
2019-03-06 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 85 - 63
2019-03-07 @ Clemson Tigers L 79 - 80
2019-03-21 vs Furman Paladins W 92 - 65
2019-03-24 vs VCU Rams W 82 - 72
2019-03-28 @ James Madison Dukes L 66 - 70

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Emery T. Emery G 7 34.4 17.1 4.9 1.9 0.3 0.3 2.0 13.1 9.3 269 32 8.4 10.1 38.0 35.1 88.1 3.24 54.3 45.1
R. Magarity R. Magarity F 7 36.6 14.1 11.3 2.6 0.9 1.4 2.3 11.7 16.3 314 32 9.8 11.5 46.3 17.6 83.3 5.43 53.5 48.2
T. Baptiste T. Baptiste F 7 30.6 12.7 8.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 2.3 8.4 13.6 208 32 6.5 9.9 54.2 84.6 77.8 2.33 66.5 63.6
Aisha Sheppard Aisha Sheppard - 7 24.3 7.7 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.3 2.7 5.6 3.9 125 32 3.9 6.8 46.2 53.6 50.0 -1.0 64.8 65.4
D. Mabrey D. Mabrey G 7 25.1 7.6 1.3 2.6 0.3 0.1 2.4 9.0 0.4 260 32 8.1 12.1 31.7 28.2 50.0 1.65 40.9 40.5
K. Brooks K. Brooks G 7 24.1 4.7 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.7 190 32 5.9 11.0 34.5 41.7 100.0 -0.23 54.4 51.7
A. Jean A. Jean F 6 16.3 4.5 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.2 17 21 0.8 2.8 47.4 58.3 50.0 0.19 65.0 65.8
R. Camp R. Camp G 7 13.9 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.0 2.3 0.7 129 31 4.2 9.7 37.5 0 70.0 -0.04 46.6 37.5
E. Brooks E. Brooks F 3 7.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 19 19 1.0 8.1 0.0 0 0 -2.35 0.0 0.0
S. Jones S. Jones G 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44 5 8.8 39.8 0 0 0 0.8 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG