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Virginia Tech

2011-2012 Team Stats (27 games)

64.3
PPG
62.9
Opp
+1.4
Margin
41.8%
FG%
35.6%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
33.1
RPG
11.3
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.9
Adj PPG
58.7
Adj Opp PPG
#71
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1141 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1064 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 953 (#234) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +8.0 (#68) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +4.6 (#107) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.621 (#108) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.7 More โ†’ 0.812 (#67) AdjNet +12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.9 More โ†’ 0.816 (#67) AdjNet +12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 58.7 More โ†’ 0.659 (#71) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.536 (#130) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.638 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.614 (#115) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1058 (#130) RD 127 | GP 33
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. More โ†’ Legacy estimate Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast.

2011-2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 64 - 53
2011-11-14 vs Monmouth Hawks W 91 - 46
2011-11-15 vs Florida International Panthers W 78 - 63
2011-11-23 @ Syracuse Orange L 58 - 69
2011-11-25 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 59 - 57
2011-11-27 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 73 - 64
2011-11-30 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 55 - 58
2011-12-04 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 61 - 69
2011-12-07 @ Rhode Island Rams W 78 - 67
2011-12-11 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 73 - 60
2011-12-17 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 85 - 60
2011-12-19 vs North Florida Ospreys W 84 - 55
2011-12-22 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 71 - 50
2011-12-31 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 67 - 61
2012-01-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 55 - 58
2012-01-10 vs Florida State Seminoles L 59 - 63
2012-01-14 @ Boston College Eagles L 59 - 61
2012-01-19 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 82
2012-01-22 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 47 - 45
2012-01-25 vs BYU Cougars L 68 - 70
2012-01-28 @ Maryland Terrapins L 69 - 73
2012-02-02 vs Duke Blue Devils L 60 - 75
2012-02-04 vs Clemson Tigers W 67 - 65
2012-02-09 @ Miami Hurricanes L 49 - 65
2012-02-12 vs Boston College Eagles W 66 - 65
2012-02-16 @ Florida State Seminoles L 47 - 48
2012-02-18 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 74 - 73
2012-02-21 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 59 - 61
2012-02-25 @ Duke Blue Devils L 65 - 70
2012-03-01 @ Clemson Tigers L 56 - 58
2012-03-04 vs NC State Wolfpack L 58 - 70
2012-03-08 @ Clemson Tigers W 68 - 63
2012-03-09 @ Duke Blue Devils L 56 - 60

2011-2012 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Erick Green Erick Green G 31 34.5 15.6 3.3 2.8 1.3 0.1 1.5 10.5 11.1 61 22 2.8 3.6 43.3 33.0 80.0 2.24 65.7 47.9
Dorenzo Hudson Dorenzo Hudson G 33 29.4 10.9 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 1.9 7.0 7.1 79 24 3.3 4.8 38.4 33.3 77.6 0.41 67.6 44.4
Jarell Eddie Jarell Eddie F 33 27.3 9.1 4.8 1.4 0.5 0.4 1.4 5.6 9.2 59 24 2.5 3.8 44.0 45.6 85.2 1.2 72.0 56.8
Victor Davila Victor Davila F 25 22.9 7.5 4.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.4 4.4 7.5 62 19 3.3 6.1 56.8 0 72.5 0.87 70.4 56.8
Robert Brown Robert Brown G 33 22.3 6.8 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 1.5 5.4 5.0 52 24 2.2 4.5 35.4 31.1 59.4 0.87 58.3 43.3
Dorian Finney-Smith Dorian Finney-Smith F 33 29.0 6.3 7.0 1.9 0.7 0.7 1.7 5.1 9.8 95 24 4.0 6.1 33.3 35.1 61.4 1.43 54.1 39.3
Cadarian Raines Cadarian Raines F 33 18.8 5.9 3.9 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 4.2 6.8 31 24 1.3 3.0 53.3 0 52.5 -0.63 63.1 53.3
Tyrone Garland Tyrone Garland G 8 10.8 4.6 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.2 1.1 4.4 16 6 2.7 8.8 33.3 0.0 87.5 -0.35 147.8 33.3
C.J. Barksdale C.J. Barksdale F 32 11.8 2.7 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.0 3.7 35 22 1.6 5.6 43.1 0 74.3 0.42 54.1 43.1
Marquis Rankin Marquis Rankin G 24 13.5 2.5 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.4 -10 18 -0.6 -1.9 33.8 39.1 61.5 -0.58 43.1 40.8
Will Johnston Will Johnston G 4 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0 2 0.0 0.0 33.3 33.3 0 -0.33 50.0 50.0
Joey Racer Joey Racer G 6 2.8 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.2 -0.8 5 5 1.0 14.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.11 14.3 0.0
Joey van Zegeren Joey van Zegeren F 3 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0 3 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.47 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG