Virginia Tech Hokies
2017 Team Stats (14 games)
77.6
PPG
81.7
Opp
-4.1
Margin
48.3%
FG%
39.8%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
29.9
RPG
13.6
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.3
Adj PPG
69.5
Adj Opp PPG
#48
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1280 (#39) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1224 (#41) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1043 (#106) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +11.9 (#47) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +9.7 (#59) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.659 (#84) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.869 (#49) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.872 (#49) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.727 (#48) | AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.598 (#75) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.760 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.738 (#55) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1251 (#34) | RD 112 | GP 33 |
2017 Schedule & Results
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. LeDay
|
F | 28 | 29.5 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 17.8 | 96 | 28 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 52.0 | 29.2 | 75.2 | 3.38 | 94.4 | 53.9 |
S. Allen
|
G | 27 | 28.9 | 13.3 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 54 | 27 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 52.1 | 44.1 | 70.3 | 1.42 | 93.9 | 61.3 |
A. Hill
|
G | 28 | 29.8 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 9.9 | 42 | 28 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 41.7 | 29.9 | 67.3 | -0.26 | 93.3 | 49.7 |
C. Clarke
|
G | 21 | 29.0 | 10.9 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 16.0 | 80 | 22 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 59.2 | 10.0 | 68.8 | 0.73 | 90.4 | 59.7 |
Justin Robinson
|
- | 28 | 31.9 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 12.0 | 87 | 28 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 43.8 | 43.1 | 75.7 | 2.71 | 89.4 | 53.5 |
J. Bibbs
|
G | 28 | 31.5 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 8.4 | 1 | 28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 44.6 | 61.9 | -0.79 | 94.6 | 56.0 |
T. Outlaw
|
G | 28 | 17.2 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.3 | -11 | 28 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 50.6 | 47.1 | 100.0 | -0.97 | 102.6 | 69.9 |
J. Hamilton
|
C | 2 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.3 | 625.0 | 0 |
K. Sy
|
F | 27 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 24 | 27 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 51.2 | 0 | 77.8 | 0.01 | 118.2 | 51.2 |
M. Galloway
|
G | 10 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 4 | 12 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG