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Virginia St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Virginia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1167 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1112 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1093 (#80) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +4.2 (#179) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.5 (#236) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.694 (#74) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +33.0 More → 0.983 (#107) NetEff +33.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.2 More → 0.696 (#149) AdjNet +7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.2 More → 0.700 (#150) AdjNet +7.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 70.6 More → 0.624 (#152) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 70.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.596 (#154) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.642 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.643 (#189) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More → 1072 (#159) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Shepherd L 62 - 64
2025-11-15 vs East Stroudsburg L 78 - 79
2025-11-19 @ Chowan W 74 - 63
2025-11-22 @ Dist. Columbia W 82 - 64
2025-11-26 @ Delaware St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Gannon L 53 - 95
2025-11-30 vs Mansfield W 74 - 64
2025-12-03 @ Shaw L 78 - 79
2025-12-06 vs UNC Pembroke L 68 - 75
2025-12-11 vs Fayetteville St. W 79 - 77
2025-12-13 vs Claflin L 73 - 77
2025-12-16 vs Shaw L 83 - 87
2025-12-18 vs Chowan W 80 - 72
2025-12-20 vs Barton W 94 - 66
2026-01-05 vs Cheyney W 85 - 73
2026-01-08 @ Livingstone L 59 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Johnson C. Smith W 83 - 61
2026-01-13 @ Winston-Salem W 77 - 71
2026-01-17 @ Virginia Union L 37 - 65
2026-01-21 vs Bowie St. W 77 - 64
2026-01-24 @ Elizabeth City St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Lincoln (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Bluefield St. W 60 - 59
2026-02-07 @ Lincoln (PA) W 59 - 53
2026-02-11 @ Bluefield St. W 65 - 48
2026-02-14 vs Elizabeth City St. W 81 - 69
2026-02-18 @ Bowie St. W 67 - 61
2026-02-21 vs Virginia Union W 73 - 59
2026-02-25 vs Lincoln (PA) W 76 - 60
2026-02-27 vs Bluefield St. L 66 - 71
2026-03-27 vs Edward Waters W 75 - 61
2026-03-28 vs Bluefield St. W 69 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jacob Cooper - 26 31.0 15.3 3.7 5.7 2.2 0.0 2.7 11.5 12.7 - - - - 44.8 25.0 78.9 - 54.6 47.0
William Hopkins - 28 25.5 9.5 2.3 1.2 1.5 0.2 1.9 9.1 3.6 - - - - 41.6 34.1 70.6 - 49.1 47.3
Tim Uzochuwku - 29 19.3 8.8 5.3 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.1 7.0 9.0 - - - - 53.5 8.3 69.1 - 56.4 53.7
Amare Wimbush - 28 17.0 7.1 4.6 0.9 0.9 0.6 2.0 5.4 6.6 - - - - 40.0 27.3 71.4 - 50.5 41.0
Jared Clawson - 29 24.8 6.8 2.8 1.3 1.1 0.0 1.4 5.6 5.2 - - - - 30.9 24.7 87.4 - 49.4 37.7
Marcus Jackson - 19 13.2 4.8 3.6 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 3.9 5.0 - - - - 49.3 42.9 51.7 - 52.4 51.3
Davian Coleman - 14 15.9 4.6 4.1 0.4 0.3 1.1 0.4 2.6 7.4 - - - - 64.9 0 59.3 - 65.5 64.9
DeShawn Goodwyn - 28 14.1 4.6 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.5 4.7 2.9 - - - - 36.6 30.0 58.3 - 45.2 43.5
Jordan Lambert - 22 11.3 4.4 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.7 3.4 3.0 - - - - 40.0 42.1 82.9 - 53.7 45.3
Jaedan Jefferson - 9 7.3 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 1.1 3.2 1.2 - - - - 44.8 0.0 40.0 - 45.0 44.8
Brandon Hilliard - 23 13.1 3.3 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 1.0 3.7 2.2 - - - - 33.7 31.8 66.7 - 41.0 37.8
Michael Cooper - 25 12.1 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.8 1.8 - - - - 38.0 26.9 76.5 - 47.1 43.0
Jared White - 13 10.3 3.0 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.4 1.5 - - - - 29.5 29.6 55.6 - 40.7 38.6
Jaylen Wynn - 15 8.6 2.6 2.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.5 2.6 2.4 - - - - 43.6 0.0 55.6 - 45.4 43.6
Tyrek Williams - 8 4.8 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.8 - - - - 20.0 0 50.0 - 40.3 20.0
John Uzochukwu - 15 2.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.1 - - - - 27.3 0.0 50.0 - 29.5 27.3
Christian Holmes - 7 2.1 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 - - - - 25.0 0 0.0 - 22.5 25.0
Russell Branch - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG