🐻⬇️🏀

Villanova

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Villanova Wildcats
Program History
Coach: Denise Dillon

2023 Team Stats (37 games)

70.8
PPG
58.7
Opp
+12.1
Margin
43.8%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
77.0%
FT%
36.4
RPG
16.6
APG
10.2
TO
65.8
Est. poss./game
74.7
Adj PPG
51.6
Adj Opp PPG
#18
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1420 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1390 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More → 1164 (#19) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +24.7 (#19) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → +24.5 (#20) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.896 (#22) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.2 More → 0.896 (#22) NetEff +18.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +37.2 More → 0.987 (#17) AdjNet +37.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.7 More → 0.987 (#19) AdjNet +37.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 51.6 More → 0.890 (#18) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 51.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 54.9 More → 0.814 (#17) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 54.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.930 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.921 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 37 More → 1376 (#11) RD 98 | GP 37

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 @ Marist Red Foxes W 60 - 38
2022-11-11 @ Princeton Tigers W 69 - 59
2022-11-17 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 67 - 41
2022-11-20 @ Temple Owls W 74 - 71
2022-11-25 @ Belmont Bruins W 83 - 80
2022-11-26 @ Baylor Bears L 70 - 75
2022-11-27 vs South Florida Bulls W 72 - 50
2022-12-02 vs Creighton Bluejays L 46 - 67
2022-12-04 @ Providence Friars W 79 - 54
2022-12-06 vs American University Eagles W 83 - 42
2022-12-10 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 82 - 59
2022-12-18 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 62 - 74
2022-12-21 vs La Salle Explorers W 81 - 55
2022-12-28 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 54 - 52
2023-01-01 @ Xavier Musketeers W 77 - 49
2023-01-04 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 71 - 64
2023-01-08 vs Butler Bulldogs W 68 - 58
2023-01-11 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 71 - 64
2023-01-14 vs St. John's Red Storm W 64 - 61
2023-01-17 vs Xavier Musketeers W 76 - 38
2023-01-20 @ Creighton Bluejays W 73 - 57
2023-01-29 @ UConn Huskies L 58 - 63
2023-02-01 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 73 - 54
2023-02-04 @ Butler Bulldogs W 78 - 58
2023-02-08 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 82 - 53
2023-02-11 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 99 - 65
2023-02-15 @ St. John's Red Storm W 73 - 57
2023-02-18 vs UConn Huskies L 51 - 60
2023-02-21 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 67 - 64
2023-02-24 vs Providence Friars W 67 - 50
2023-02-27 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 83 - 56
2023-03-04 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 71 - 70
2023-03-05 vs Creighton Bluejays W 63 - 61
2023-03-06 @ UConn Huskies L 56 - 67
2023-03-18 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 76 - 59
2023-03-20 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 76 - 57
2023-03-24 vs Miami Hurricanes L 65 - 70

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
MADDY SIEGRIST MADDY SIEGRIST - 37 35.5 29.2 9.2 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 21.4 19.6 - - - - 51.0 36.1 85.8 - 59.8 54.3
Lucy Olsen Lucy Olsen - 37 33.0 12.4 4.1 4.4 1.4 0.2 1.6 11.4 9.5 - - - - 41.1 35.6 76.2 - 50.3 47.3
Christina Dalce Christina Dalce F 37 23.9 7.3 7.9 1.0 0.5 2.3 1.6 7.4 10.0 - - - - 41.1 0.0 52.4 - 43.2 41.1
Maddie Burke Maddie Burke G 37 22.9 7.1 2.5 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 6.2 5.5 - - - - 38.2 36.1 100.0 - 55.4 53.3
BELLA RUNYAN BELLA RUNYAN G 37 23.6 4.0 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.9 3.8 5.2 - - - - 39.3 27.5 63.3 - 48.3 46.1
BROOKE MULLIN BROOKE MULLIN G 37 26.5 3.5 2.7 3.5 0.9 0.5 1.4 4.2 5.6 - - - - 29.7 24.5 73.3 - 39.9 38.1
Kaitlyn Orihel Kaitlyn Orihel G 37 13.8 3.0 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.4 - - - - 43.8 36.1 75.0 - 58.3 56.2
Megan Olbrys Megan Olbrys F 25 10.7 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.5 2.0 2.9 - - - - 51.0 15.4 50.0 - 53.5 53.1
Zanai Jones Zanai Jones G 29 10.0 1.9 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 - - - - 37.3 35.0 91.7 - 49.8 44.1
Anahi-Lee Cauley Anahi-Lee Cauley F 18 8.6 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.6 - - - - 48.5 0.0 75.0 - 50.3 48.5
Kylie Swider Kylie Swider C 15 2.5 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 - - - - 37.5 0 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
Annie Welde Annie Welde F 8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2022-2023 Shot Zones

454 located field-goal attempts in 7 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

SIEGRIST38% SIEGRIST76% SIEGRIST60% SIEGRIST60% Olsen31% Orihel40% Olsen33% Olsen38% RUNYAN38% MULLIN44%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
SIEGRIST34% SIEGRIST49% SIEGRIST63% Olsen33% SIEGRIST48% Burke50% Olsen43% SIEGRIST24% Olsen44% MULLIN29%
Misses: who misses most here

MADDY SIEGRISTLucy OlsenBELLA RUNYANBROOKE MULLINMaddie BurkeKaitlyn Orihel

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 74-159 46.5 148 MADDY SIEGRIST 38% (56 pts) Christina Dalce 22% (32 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 34% (29 misses) Christina Dalce 28% (24 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 33-74 44.6 66 MADDY SIEGRIST 76% (50 pts) Lucy Olsen 9% (6 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 49% (20 misses) Lucy Olsen 22% (9 misses)
Mid-range left 10-40 25.0 20 MADDY SIEGRIST 60% (12 pts) Lucy Olsen 30% (6 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 63% (19 misses) Lucy Olsen 20% (6 misses)
Mid-range center 5-17 29.4 10 MADDY SIEGRIST 60% (6 pts) BROOKE MULLIN 20% (2 pts) Lucy Olsen 33% (4 misses) MADDY SIEGRIST 17% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 16-41 39.0 32 Lucy Olsen 31% (10 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 31% (10 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 48% (12 misses) Lucy Olsen 20% (5 misses)
Left corner 3 5-21 23.8 15 Kaitlyn Orihel 40% (6 pts) BELLA RUNYAN 20% (3 pts) Maddie Burke 50% (8 misses) BROOKE MULLIN 12% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 6-13 46.2 18 Lucy Olsen 33% (6 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 33% (6 pts) Lucy Olsen 43% (3 misses) BELLA RUNYAN 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 8-33 24.2 24 Lucy Olsen 38% (9 pts) Maddie Burke 25% (6 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 24% (6 misses) Maddie Burke 20% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 8-26 30.8 24 BELLA RUNYAN 38% (9 pts) MADDY SIEGRIST 38% (9 pts) Lucy Olsen 44% (8 misses) BROOKE MULLIN 22% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-30 30.0 27 BROOKE MULLIN 44% (12 pts) Kaitlyn Orihel 22% (6 pts) BROOKE MULLIN 29% (6 misses) Maddie Burke 24% (5 misses)