Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +37.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +41 (83-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Stack | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Johns | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Henning | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| I. Bales | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. DeRubbo | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. LeMaster | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Lavin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Nogues | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Stetson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Garbee | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Rescifina | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Graytok | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lee | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Siegrist | 26 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| M. Burke | 24 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Mullin | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| C. Dalce | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Z. Jones | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Runyan | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Olsen | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| K. Orihel | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Cauley | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Swider | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Welde | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter