Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.7% | 99.3% | +40.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +40.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +41 (83-42). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Stack * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Emily Johns * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Henning * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ivy Bales * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Riley DeRubbo * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Anna LeMaster | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Molly Lavin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Laura Nogues | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sadie Stetson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bailey Garbee | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Anna Rescifina | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Laura Graytok | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marisa Lee | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MADDY SIEGRIST * | 26 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Maddie Burke * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brooke Mullin * | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Christina Dalce * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| LUCY OLSEN * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Zanai Jones | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Bella Runyan | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Anahi-Lee Cauley | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kylie Swider | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Annie Welde | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter