🐻⬇️🏀

Villanova

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History
Coach: Jay Wright

2015 Team Stats (32 games)

77.0
PPG
61.9
Opp
+15.0
Margin
46.4%
FG%
39.4%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
34.2
RPG
16.0
APG
10.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.1
Adj PPG
56.3
Adj Opp PPG
#5
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1465 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1417 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1197 (#8) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +22.0 (#5) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +22.2 (#5) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.932 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.9 More → 0.979 (#6) AdjNet +32.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.1 More → 0.979 (#6) AdjNet +33.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 56.3 More → 0.869 (#5) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 56.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.818 (#5) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 59.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.920 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.914 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 36 More → 1425 (#4) RD 112 | GP 36

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 77 - 66
2014-11-17 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 81 - 44
2014-11-20 vs Bucknell Bison W 72 - 65
2014-11-24 @ VCU Rams W 77 - 53
2014-11-25 @ Michigan Wolverines W 60 - 55
2014-11-30 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 78 - 47
2014-12-03 @ La Salle Explorers W 84 - 70
2014-12-06 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 74 - 46
2014-12-09 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 73 - 59
2014-12-14 vs Temple Owls W 85 - 62
2014-12-20 vs Syracuse Orange W 82 - 77
2014-12-23 vs NJIT Highlanders W 92 - 67
2014-12-31 vs Butler Bulldogs W 67 - 55
2015-01-03 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 61 - 66
2015-01-06 @ St. John's Red Storm W 90 - 72
2015-01-10 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 81 - 64
2015-01-14 vs Xavier Musketeers W 88 - 75
2015-01-17 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 62 - 47
2015-01-19 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 58 - 78
2015-01-25 vs Creighton Bluejays W 71 - 50
2015-01-31 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 68 - 55
2015-02-04 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 70 - 52
2015-02-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 69 - 53
2015-02-11 @ Providence Friars W 74 - 68
2015-02-14 @ Butler Bulldogs W 68 - 65
2015-02-16 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 80 - 54
2015-02-21 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 87 - 76
2015-02-24 vs Providence Friars W 89 - 61
2015-02-28 @ Xavier Musketeers W 78 - 66
2015-03-03 @ Creighton Bluejays W 76 - 72
2015-03-07 vs St. John's Red Storm W 105 - 68
2015-03-12 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 84 - 49
2015-03-13 vs Providence Friars W 63 - 61
2015-03-14 vs Xavier Musketeers W 69 - 52
2015-03-19 vs Lafayette Leopards W 93 - 52
2015-03-21 vs NC State Wolfpack L 68 - 71

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Darrun Hilliard Darrun Hilliard G 34 28.7 14.4 3.1 2.1 1.8 0.4 1.2 10.4 10.1 392 33 11.9 17.5 44.2 39.3 78.4 5.29 61.5 54.8
Ryan Arcidiacono Ryan Arcidiacono G 35 30.4 10.2 1.7 3.6 1.1 0.1 1.3 7.4 8.1 408 33 12.4 17.2 40.2 37.3 82.4 4.43 58.4 50.4
Josh Hart Josh Hart G 35 25.5 10.1 4.4 1.4 1.1 0.4 1.1 6.3 10.1 345 33 10.5 17.9 51.1 47.7 65.9 3.19 68.0 62.7
JayVaughn Pinkston JayVaughn Pinkston F 35 25.9 9.8 5.4 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.6 5.9 10.5 265 33 8.0 13.1 44.4 0.0 78.2 -1.25 60.7 44.4
Dylan Ennis Dylan Ennis G 35 27.9 9.7 3.6 3.5 0.9 0.5 1.7 7.8 8.7 350 33 10.6 15.9 40.3 35.8 61.0 2.09 54.7 50.0
Daniel Ochefu Daniel Ochefu F 35 24.0 9.1 8.5 1.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 5.3 14.3 292 33 8.8 15.6 64.1 0 68.6 0.01 69.9 64.1
Kris Jenkins Kris Jenkins F 35 18.6 6.4 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.6 4.1 5.6 211 33 6.4 15.1 39.9 37.3 77.6 0.6 68.1 55.2
Phil Booth Phil Booth G 35 14.7 5.9 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.0 165 33 5.0 15.4 53.8 47.6 73.3 1.84 74.6 66.4
Darryl Reynolds Darryl Reynolds F 26 5.5 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 2.6 31 24 1.3 10.2 75.0 0 31.2 -1.78 82.5 75.0
Kevin Rafferty Kevin Rafferty F 14 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -14 11 -1.3 -25.7 50.0 0.0 0.0 -3.42 69.4 50.0
Patrick Farrell Patrick Farrell F 14 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 -15 11 -1.4 -28.6 25.0 25.0 0 -3.54 37.5 37.5
Henry Lowe Henry Lowe G 15 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -5 12 -0.4 -7.1 14.3 16.7 0 -2.1 21.4 21.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG