Villanova
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1200 (#56) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1159 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1055 (#95) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.6 (#80) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.3 (#82) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.536 (#139) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.784 (#72) | AdjNet +11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.786 (#72) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.637 (#75) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.574 (#97) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.684 (#71) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.673 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1184 (#43) | RD 98 | GP 33 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Lafayette | W | 74 - 70 |
| 1999-11-29 | vs | FDU | W | 62 - 52 |
| 1999-12-06 | @ | Massachusetts | L | 51 - 52 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Penn State | W | 73 - 61 |
| 1999-12-15 | @ | Temple | L | 66 - 69 |
| 1999-12-22 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 77 - 71 |
| 1999-12-27 | N | Colorado | L | 56 - 79 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Bradley | W | 63 - 62 |
| 1999-12-30 | N | Wake Forest | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2000-01-04 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2000-01-09 | @ | Pennsylvania | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2000-01-12 | vs | La Salle | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Boston College | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2000-01-17 | vs | Miami (FL) | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Providence | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2000-01-23 | @ | Rutgers | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Pittsburgh | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2000-01-30 | vs | Georgia | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2000-02-02 | vs | Connecticut | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Georgetown | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2000-02-08 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2000-02-15 | vs | West Virginia | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | Saint Joseph's | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2000-02-20 | vs | Rutgers | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2000-02-23 | @ | Syracuse | L | 63 - 91 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Seton Hall | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2000-03-01 | vs | Providence | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2000-03-04 | @ | Boston College | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2000-03-08 | N | Pittsburgh | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2000-03-09 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2000-03-15 | vs | Delaware | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2000-03-20 | vs | Kent State | L | 67 - 81 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.