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Vermont

Also known as: Vermont
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1031 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1012 (#351) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +56.6 (#17) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +38.9 More → 0.989 (#115) AdjNet +38.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +43.9 More → 0.997 (#80) AdjNet +43.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 95.9 | AdjD 53.9 More → 0.979 (#34) AdjO 95.9 | AdjD 53.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 56.0 More → 0.808 (#54) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 56.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.981 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.962 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#181) RD 350 | GP 1

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-01-23 vs Hartford - Preview
2021-01-24 vs Hartford - Preview

2021 Roster

No roster data available for this season.