Vermont
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1061 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#97) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1008 (#381) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.9 (#192) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#83) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.988 (#54) | AdjNet +37.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.991 (#49) | AdjNet +38.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.936 (#43) | AdjO 90.4 | AdjD 60.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.666 (#128) | AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.789 (#115) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.757 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#213) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Western New Eng. | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-11-05 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | W | 113 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Long | - | 2 | 27.3 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 44.4 | 66.7 | - | 65.9 | 65.4 |
| TJ Hurley | - | 2 | 26.6 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9.5 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 30.0 | 100.0 | - | 62.4 | 55.3 |
| Ben Wesson | - | 1 | 6.4 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 110.5 | 120.0 |
| Lucas Mari | - | 2 | 24.1 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 80.0 | 50.0 | - | 81.4 | 90.0 |
| Noah Barnett | - | 2 | 22.4 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 57.1 | - | 72.2 | 75.0 |
| Ben Johnson | - | 2 | 17.6 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 9.0 | -14 | -3.5 | -124.0 | 55.6 | 62.5 | 50.0 | -1.07 | 81.0 | 83.3 |
| David Simon | - | 2 | 15.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 65.6 | 70.0 |
| Sean Blake | - | 2 | 18.1 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 64.5 | 57.1 |
| Jackson Skipper | - | 2 | 17.2 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Momo Nkugwa | - | 2 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Ben Michaels | - | 2 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 29.4 | 12.5 |
| Drew Bessette | - | 1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sincere Clemons | - | 1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG